Levski Sofia crestJagiellonia crest

Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia bet builder

Thursday 5 November 2026, 17:45 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Jagiellonia or draw

    56% the model

    Our board prices this at 56%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.78 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 43% chance all land
2.34

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia, 43% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Levski Sofia or Draw Double Chance 77% 1.28 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.24 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.39 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 43%
    Corners: Levski Sofia avg 2.3 for/4.7 against, Jagiellonia avg 3.8 for/5.5 against so expected 8.2 match corners
  • Over 5.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Levski Sofia avg 2.3 for/4.7 against, Jagiellonia avg 3.8 for/5.5 against so expected 8.2 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 37%
    Cards: Levski Sofia avg 0.7/game, Jagiellonia avg 1.5/game so expected 2.2 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%
    Fouls: Levski Sofia avg 11.3/game, Jagiellonia avg 13.3/game so expected 24.7 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Levski Sofia avg 11.3/game, Jagiellonia avg 13.3/game so expected 24.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 41%
    Shots: Levski Sofia avg 9.3/game, Jagiellonia avg 12.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots
  • Over 18.5 Match Shots 75%
    Shots: Levski Sofia avg 9.3/game, Jagiellonia avg 12.3/game so expected 21.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Levski Sofia or Draw (double chance) 83% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Levski Sofia or Jagiellonia (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Levski Sofia under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Levski Sofia over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market BetVictor
    1.36 +
  • Over 2 goals 74% market BetVictor
    1.37 +
  • Jagiellonia over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Jagiellonia under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 70% market BetVictor
    1.45 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.