Leon v Guadalajara Chivas bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.37 +
Guadalajara Chivas or draw
73% the modelOur board prices this at 73%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Leon v Guadalajara Chivas, 64% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.20 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.44 +
- Leon or Draw Double Chance 60% 1.66 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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D. Cambindo LeonShots on target 1+
D. Cambindo: 1.14 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Arcila LeonShots on target 1+
D. Arcila: 1.00 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. González Guadalajara ChivasShots on target 1+
B. González: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Díaz LeonShots on target 1+
I. Díaz: 0.75 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Santiago Sandoval Guadalajara ChivasShots on target 1+
Santiago Sandoval: 0.83 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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R. Alvarado Guadalajara ChivasShots on target 1+
R. Alvarado: 1.00 shots on target a game over 14 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 3 games (260 min), 38% weight
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S. Vegas LeonShots on target 1+
S. Vegas: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Cambindo LeonShots on target 2+
D. Cambindo: 1.14 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Leon avg 4.2 for/7.2 against, Guadalajara Chivas avg 6.2 for/5.6 against so expected 11.6 match corners
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 72%Corners: Leon avg 4.2 for/7.2 against, Guadalajara Chivas avg 6.2 for/5.6 against so expected 11.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 49%Cards: Leon avg 3.2/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 1.4/game so expected 4.6 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Leon avg 3.2/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 1.4/game so expected 4.6 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 60%Fouls: Leon avg 13.6/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 12.4/game so expected 26.0 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Leon avg 13.6/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 12.4/game so expected 26.0 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 43%Shots: Leon avg 14.2/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 11.6/game so expected 25.8 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%Shots: Leon avg 14.2/game, Guadalajara Chivas avg 11.6/game so expected 25.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 1.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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Under 13 corners 85% market 1xBet1.18 +
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Guadalajara Chivas under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Guadalajara Chivas over 3.5 corners 83% market Betano1.20 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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Leon under 6.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
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Guadalajara Chivas over 4 corners 81% market 1xBet1.23 +
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Leon or Guadalajara Chivas (double chance) 81% market William Hill1.29 +
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Leon over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.30 +
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Under 12.5 corners 79% market Betano1.30 +
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Leon under 6 corners 79% market 1xBet1.27 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market BetVictor1.34 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.