Lens v Sporting CP bet builder

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 17:45 · Champions League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Sporting CP or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    1.51 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
 Join FBB Pro

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.24 +
  • Lens or Draw Double Chance 1.48 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.55 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Flávio Gonçalves Sporting CP
    Shots on target 1+

    Flávio Gonçalves: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Ioannidis Sporting CP
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Ioannidis: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Geny Catamo Sporting CP
    Shots on target 1+

    Geny Catamo: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Luis Guilherme Sporting CP
    Shots on target 1+

    Luis Guilherme: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Bulatović Lens
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Bulatović: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 44%
    Corners: Lens avg 8.7 for/4.3 against, Sporting CP avg 3.6 for/3.8 against so expected 10.2 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Lens avg 8.7 for/4.3 against, Sporting CP avg 3.6 for/3.8 against so expected 10.2 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 58%
    Cards: Lens avg 2.8/game, Sporting CP avg 2.3/game so expected 5.1 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Lens avg 2.8/game, Sporting CP avg 2.3/game so expected 5.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 51%
    Fouls: Lens avg 13.0/game, Sporting CP avg 11.8/game so expected 24.8 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Lens avg 13.0/game, Sporting CP avg 11.8/game so expected 24.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Lens avg 20.8/game, Sporting CP avg 13.7/game so expected 34.5 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Lens avg 20.8/game, Sporting CP avg 13.7/game so expected 34.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Lens over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Sporting CP under 2.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Sporting CP over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Lens under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Lens or Sporting CP (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.25 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Under 11 corners 76% market 1xBet
    1.32 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Champions League Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha Tue 13 Oct, 17:45 Champions League Viking vs Bayern München Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Champions League Arsenal vs Lille Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Champions League Inter vs Club Brugge KV Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Champions League Galatasaray vs Barcelona Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 Champions League RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.