Lens v Paris FC bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.40 +
Lens or draw
72% the modelRecord this market has landed 83% across 274 graded picks
Our board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 63% combined for Lens v Paris FC. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 78% 1.18 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.21 +
- Paris FC or Draw Double Chance 63% 1.61 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.48 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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L. Sinayoko Paris FCShots on target 1+
L. Sinayoko: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Kebbal Paris FCShots on target 1+
I. Kebbal: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Sinayoko Paris FCShots on target 2+
L. Sinayoko: 1.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Koleosho Paris FCShots on target 1+
L. Koleosho: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Bulatović LensShots on target 1+
A. Bulatović: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Ganiou LensShots on target 1+
I. Ganiou: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 53%Corners: Lens avg 7.7 for/4.3 against, Paris FC avg 4.4 for/3.4 against so expected 9.9 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 77%Corners: Lens avg 7.7 for/4.3 against, Paris FC avg 4.4 for/3.4 against so expected 9.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 56%Cards: Lens avg 2.6/game, Paris FC avg 2.4/game so expected 5.0 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 73%Cards: Lens avg 2.6/game, Paris FC avg 2.4/game so expected 5.0 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Lens avg 12.2/game, Paris FC avg 12.4/game so expected 24.7 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Lens avg 12.2/game, Paris FC avg 12.4/game so expected 24.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Lens avg 19.1/game, Paris FC avg 14.1/game so expected 33.3 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Lens avg 19.1/game, Paris FC avg 14.1/game so expected 33.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Lens over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.20 +
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Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Paris FC under 5.5 corners 85% market 1xBet1.19 +
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Lens under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Under 12 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Under 4 goals 83% market BetVictor1.25 +
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Paris FC over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 7.5 corners 82% market Betano1.28 +
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Lens or Paris FC (double chance) 81% market William Hill1.29 +
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Paris FC under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Paris FC under 5 corners 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill1.25 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.