Legia Warszawa crestLech Poznan crest

Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 · Ekstraklasa

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Lech Poznan or draw

    69% the model

    Our board prices this at 69%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.45 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land
1.49

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan, 67% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 79% 1.17 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Legia Warszawa or Draw Double Chance 64% 1.54 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 63% 1.44 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • L. Palma Lech Poznan
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Palma: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Legia Warszawa avg 4.0 for/4.0 against, Lech Poznan avg 4.7 for/6.0 against so expected 9.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Legia Warszawa avg 4.0 for/4.0 against, Lech Poznan avg 4.7 for/6.0 against so expected 9.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 50%
    Cards: Legia Warszawa avg 1.0/game, Lech Poznan avg 1.7/game so expected 2.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Legia Warszawa avg 1.0/game, Lech Poznan avg 1.7/game so expected 2.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Legia Warszawa avg 13.7/game, Lech Poznan avg 8.3/game so expected 22.0 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Legia Warszawa avg 13.7/game, Lech Poznan avg 8.3/game so expected 22.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 50%
    Shots: Legia Warszawa avg 13.0/game, Lech Poznan avg 13.7/game so expected 26.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 79%
    Shots: Legia Warszawa avg 13.0/game, Lech Poznan avg 13.7/game so expected 26.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Legia Warszawa over 0.5 goals 84% market Betano
    1.25 +
  • Lech Poznan under 2.5 goals 83% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Legia Warszawa or Lech Poznan (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Legia Warszawa under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Lech Poznan over 1 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.33 +
  • Lech Poznan or Draw (double chance) 72% market William Hill
    1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.