Lech Poznan crestSunderland crest

Lech Poznan v Sunderland bet builder

Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45 · Europa League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Sunderland or draw

    80%+ the model

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Sunderland or draw (90%).

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 84% chance all land
1.18

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Lech Poznan v Sunderland, 84% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.24 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.35 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • L. Palma Lech Poznan
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Palma: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Lech Poznan avg 4.7 for/6.0 against, Sunderland avg 5.6 for/4.4 against so expected 10.3 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Lech Poznan avg 4.7 for/6.0 against, Sunderland avg 5.6 for/4.4 against so expected 10.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 56%
    Cards: Lech Poznan avg 1.7/game, Sunderland avg 2.3/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Lech Poznan avg 1.7/game, Sunderland avg 2.3/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 53%
    Fouls: Lech Poznan avg 8.3/game, Sunderland avg 12.7/game so expected 21.0 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Lech Poznan avg 8.3/game, Sunderland avg 12.7/game so expected 21.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 66%
    Shots: Lech Poznan avg 13.7/game, Sunderland avg 15.1/game so expected 28.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Lech Poznan avg 13.7/game, Sunderland avg 15.1/game so expected 28.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Lech Poznan or Sunderland (double chance) 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Sunderland under 7.5 corners 83% market Betano
    1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Sunderland over 1 goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Sunderland over 3.5 corners 82% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Lech Poznan over 2.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Lech Poznan under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.29 +
  • Lech Poznan under 5.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • Over 2.5 cards 79% market Betano
    1.26 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Europa League OFI crestBayer Leverkusen crestOFI vs Bayer Leverkusen Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Europa League Union St. Gilloise crestHapoel Beer Sheva crestUnion St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Europa League Ferencvarosi TC crestTorreense crestFerencvarosi TC vs Torreense Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Europa League Ararat-Armenia crestAZ Alkmaar crestArarat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Europa League Juventus crestRennes crestJuventus vs Rennes Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Europa League Dinamo Zagreb crestNEC Nijmegen crestDinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Thu 22 Oct, 17:45
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.