Lazio v Parma bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.72 +
Lazio to win
58% the modelRecord this market has landed 71% across 196 graded picks
Our board prices this at 58%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 51% combined for Lazio v Parma. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 73% 1.28 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.33 +
- Lazio (first half) First Half 51% 1.98 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 1+
M. Zaccagni: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Noslin LazioShots on target 1+
T. Noslin: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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E. Touré ParmaShots on target 1+
E. Touré: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Frattesi LazioShots on target 1+
D. Frattesi: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Nuno Tavares LazioShots on target 1+
Nuno Tavares: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 2+
M. Zaccagni: 1.14 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%Corners: Lazio avg 4.4 for/5.6 against, Parma avg 3.2 for/6.0 against so expected 9.6 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%Corners: Lazio avg 4.4 for/5.6 against, Parma avg 3.2 for/6.0 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 46%Cards: Lazio avg 2.2/game, Parma avg 1.3/game so expected 3.5 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Lazio avg 2.2/game, Parma avg 1.3/game so expected 3.5 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 42%Fouls: Lazio avg 12.1/game, Parma avg 9.6/game so expected 21.7 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 75%Fouls: Lazio avg 12.1/game, Parma avg 9.6/game so expected 21.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 41%Shots: Lazio avg 12.9/game, Parma avg 10.6/game so expected 23.5 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 73%Shots: Lazio avg 12.9/game, Parma avg 10.6/game so expected 23.5 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Parma over 1.5 corners 85% market Betano1.19 +
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Over 6.5 corners 84% market Betano1.22 +
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Under 11 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill1.25 +
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Parma under 4.5 corners 83% market Betano1.22 +
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Lazio over 4 corners 81% market 1xBet1.24 +
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Lazio under 7.5 corners 81% market Betano1.26 +
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Over 1.5 goals 80% market BetVictor1.29 +
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Under 2 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.36 +
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Parma under 1 goals 76% market 1xBet1.34 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market BetVictor1.38 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.