Lazio v Monza bet builder

Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Lazio or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 82% across 227 graded picks

    1.11 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
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Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 1.33 +
  • Lazio Home Win 1.70 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Zaccagni Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Zaccagni: 1.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Birindelli Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Birindelli: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Cancellieri Lazio
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Cancellieri: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Zaccagni Lazio
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Zaccagni: 1.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Lucchesi Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Lucchesi: 0.60 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 45%
    Corners: Lazio avg 3.8 for/5.6 against, Monza avg 4.8 for/4.5 against so expected 9.3 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Lazio avg 3.8 for/5.6 against, Monza avg 4.8 for/4.5 against so expected 9.3 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 54%
    Cards: Lazio avg 2.1/game, Monza avg 1.8/game so expected 3.9 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Lazio avg 2.1/game, Monza avg 1.8/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 60%
    Fouls: Lazio avg 13.0/game, Monza avg 13.0/game so expected 26.0 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Lazio avg 13.0/game, Monza avg 13.0/game so expected 26.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 66%
    Shots: Lazio avg 12.8/game, Monza avg 16.0/game so expected 28.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Lazio avg 12.8/game, Monza avg 16.0/game so expected 28.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Monza under 1.5 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Lazio under 2.5 goals 82% market Pinnacle
    1.24 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Lazio or Monza (double chance) 78% market 1xBet
    1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Lazio over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Monza under 1 goals 71% market Marathon Bet
    1.41 +
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The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

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Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.