Lazio v Lecce bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.57 +Lazio64% the model
Record this market has landed 71% across 199 graded picks
1st vs 14th. Lazio won their last 3 at home. Visitors poor away.
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1.64 +
Over 2.5 Goals
61% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Avg 3.2 goals/game expected.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 39% combined for Lazio v Lecce. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.55 +
- Lazio (first half) First Half 56% 1.79 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 1+
M. Zaccagni: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. Noslin LazioShots on target 1+
T. Noslin: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Isaksen LazioAnytime scorer
G. Isaksen: 0.40 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.10 a game
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Kialonda Gaspar LecceShots on target 1+
Kialonda Gaspar: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Frattesi LazioShots on target 1+
D. Frattesi: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. N’Dri LecceShots on target 1+
K. N’Dri: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Coulibaly LecceShots on target 1+
L. Coulibaly: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Zaccagni LazioAnytime assist
M. Zaccagni on 0.50 assists/match (10 apps, 23 key passes), match xG 2.61
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M. Zaccagni LazioShots on target 2+
M. Zaccagni: 1.20 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Frattesi LazioAnytime scorer
D. Frattesi: 0.30 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.10 a game
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K. Taylor LazioShots on target 1+
K. Taylor: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Isaksen LazioShots on target 1+
G. Isaksen: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%Corners: Lazio avg 4.2 for/4.9 against, Lecce avg 4.6 for/4.2 against so expected 9.0 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%Corners: Lazio avg 4.2 for/4.9 against, Lecce avg 4.6 for/4.2 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 57%Cards: Lazio avg 1.9/game, Lecce avg 2.1/game so expected 4.0 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%Cards: Lazio avg 1.9/game, Lecce avg 2.1/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Lazio avg 11.2/game, Lecce avg 13.4/game so expected 24.6 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 79%Fouls: Lazio avg 11.2/game, Lecce avg 13.4/game so expected 24.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Shots 56%Shots: Lazio avg 13.7/game, Lecce avg 11.6/game so expected 25.4 match shots
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Over 20.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Lazio avg 13.7/game, Lecce avg 11.6/game so expected 25.4 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet3651.22 +
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Lazio under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.20 +
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Lecce under 1.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.20 +
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Over 2 goals 81% market 1xBet1.27 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market William Hill1.25 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Lazio under 3 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Lazio to win 75% market William Hill1.36 +
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Lecce under 1 goals 70% market Marathon Bet1.43 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.