Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 17:45 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Heerenveen or draw

77% the model

Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.30 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land

1.49

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen, 67% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 69% 1.39 +
Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.80 +
NEC Nijmegen or Draw Double Chance 55% 1.85 +
Over 3.5 Goals 51% 1.97 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

M. Rivera Heerenveen

Shots on target 1+

M. Rivera: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Trenskow Heerenveen

Shots on target 1+

J. Trenskow: 1.10 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Trenskow Heerenveen

Anytime scorer

J. Trenskow: 0.60 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.80 a game
D. Vente Heerenveen

Shots on target 1+

D. Vente: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
N. Courtens Heerenveen

Shots on target 1+

N. Courtens: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
M. Rivera Heerenveen

Shots on target 2+

M. Rivera: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
V. Zagaritis Heerenveen

Shots on target 1+

V. Zagaritis: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 50%
Corners: Heerenveen avg 5.8 for/4.2 against, NEC Nijmegen avg 6.4 for/2.9 against so expected 9.6 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 75%
Corners: Heerenveen avg 5.8 for/4.2 against, NEC Nijmegen avg 6.4 for/2.9 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
Over 2.5 Match Cards 36%
Cards: Heerenveen avg 0.9/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 1.3/game so expected 2.1 match cards
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 53%
Fouls: Heerenveen avg 8.6/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 12.4/game so expected 21.0 match fouls
Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Heerenveen avg 8.6/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 12.4/game so expected 21.0 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Heerenveen avg 15.3/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 16.9/game so expected 32.2 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Heerenveen avg 15.3/game, NEC Nijmegen avg 16.9/game so expected 32.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

NEC Nijmegen over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet365
1.25 +
Heerenveen or NEC Nijmegen (double chance) 83% market William Hill
1.22 +
Heerenveen over 3.5 corners 82% market Betano
1.22 +
Under 12.5 corners 79% market Betano
1.27 +
Heerenveen or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
NEC Nijmegen under 2 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.30 +
Under 2 first half goals 78% market BetVictor
1.34 +
Both teams to score: Yes 75% market William Hill
1.40 +
Over 1 first half goals 75% market BetVictor
1.38 +
Over 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
1.40 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market William Hill
1.40 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.