Heart Of Midlothian crestFalkirk crest

Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk bet builder

Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Heart of Midlothian or draw

    80%+ the model

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Heart of Midlothian or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, 79% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 78% 1.20 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 78% 1.18 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.46 +
  • Heart of Midlothian Home Win 59% 1.50 +
  • Heart of Midlothian (first half) First Half 51% 1.99 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Owen Eames Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    Owen Eames: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Mendy Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Mendy: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Wilson Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Wilson: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Strain Falkirk
    Anytime assist

    R. Strain on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 24 key passes), match xG 2.59

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: Heart of Midlothian avg 5.9 for/4.4 against, Falkirk avg 4.3 for/6.2 against so expected 10.4 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Heart of Midlothian avg 5.9 for/4.4 against, Falkirk avg 4.3 for/6.2 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Heart of Midlothian avg 2.0/game, Falkirk avg 2.0/game so expected 4.0 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Heart of Midlothian avg 2.0/game, Falkirk avg 2.0/game so expected 4.0 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 64%
    Fouls: Heart of Midlothian avg 11.7/game, Falkirk avg 14.7/game so expected 26.4 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Heart of Midlothian avg 11.7/game, Falkirk avg 14.7/game so expected 26.4 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 53%
    Shots: Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game, Falkirk avg 11.1/game so expected 27.0 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game, Falkirk avg 11.1/game so expected 27.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Heart of Midlothian or Falkirk (double chance) 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 4 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Falkirk under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.