Heart of Midlothian v Celtic bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.39 +
Celtic or draw
72% the modelOur board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Heart of Midlothian v Celtic, 67% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.29 +
- Heart of Midlothian or Draw Double Chance 56% 1.77 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.65 +
- Celtic Away Win 51% 2.00 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Cláudio Braga Heart of MidlothianShots on target 1+
Cláudio Braga: 1.17 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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C. Miller Heart of MidlothianShots on target 1+
C. Miller: 0.91 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Yang Hyun-Jun CelticShots on target 1+
Yang Hyun-Jun: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. McPake Heart of MidlothianShots on target 1+
J. McPake: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. McPake Heart of MidlothianAnytime assist
J. McPake on 0.55 assists/match (11 apps, 21 key passes), match xG 2.66
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L. Mendy Heart of MidlothianShots on target 1+
L. Mendy: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Wilson Heart of MidlothianShots on target 1+
J. Wilson: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Cláudio Braga Heart of MidlothianShots on target 2+
Cláudio Braga: 1.17 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 45%Corners: Heart of Midlothian avg 5.8 for/4.4 against, Celtic avg 8.3 for/4.0 against so expected 11.2 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 79%Corners: Heart of Midlothian avg 5.8 for/4.4 against, Celtic avg 8.3 for/4.0 against so expected 11.2 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 45%Cards: Heart of Midlothian avg 1.9/game, Celtic avg 1.6/game so expected 3.5 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Heart of Midlothian avg 1.9/game, Celtic avg 1.6/game so expected 3.5 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 52%Fouls: Heart of Midlothian avg 11.5/game, Celtic avg 11.5/game so expected 22.9 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Heart of Midlothian avg 11.5/game, Celtic avg 11.5/game so expected 22.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game, Celtic avg 18.3/game so expected 34.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game, Celtic avg 18.3/game so expected 34.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market Bet3651.25 +
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Heart of Midlothian over 0.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.20 +
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Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.28 +
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Heart of Midlothian or Celtic (double chance) 81% market Bet3651.25 +
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Heart of Midlothian under 2 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market Bet3651.33 +
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Under 4 goals 76% market Betano1.39 +
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Celtic or Draw (double chance) 76% market Bet3651.36 +
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Celtic under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 2.5 goals 70% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.