Groningen crestHeerenveen crest

Groningen v Heerenveen bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 20:00 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Heerenveen or draw

    59% the model

    Our board prices this at 59%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.69 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 57% chance all land
1.75

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Groningen v Heerenveen, 57% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Groningen or Draw Double Chance 72% 1.40 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 71% 1.34 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.77 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • T. van Bergen Groningen
    Shots on target 1+

    T. van Bergen: 1.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Willumsson Groningen
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Willumsson: 1.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Rivera Heerenveen
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Rivera: 1.30 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Trenskow Heerenveen
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Trenskow: 1.09 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. van Bergen Groningen
    Shots on target 2+

    T. van Bergen: 1.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. van der Werff Groningen
    Shots on target 1+

    D. van der Werff: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Willumsson Groningen
    Anytime scorer

    B. Willumsson: 0.73 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 1.20 a game

  • D. Vente Heerenveen
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Vente: 0.73 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Willumsson Groningen
    Shots on target 2+

    B. Willumsson: 1.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. van Bergen Groningen
    Anytime scorer

    T. van Bergen: 0.64 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 1.20 a game

  • T. de Jonge Groningen
    Shots on target 1+

    T. de Jonge: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Schreuders Groningen
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Schreuders: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Courtens Heerenveen
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Courtens: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Trenskow Heerenveen
    Anytime scorer

    J. Trenskow: 0.55 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 1.20 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 54%
    Corners: Groningen avg 4.1 for/5.7 against, Heerenveen avg 5.7 for/4.4 against so expected 10.0 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Groningen avg 4.1 for/5.7 against, Heerenveen avg 5.7 for/4.4 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 51%
    Cards: Groningen avg 1.7/game, Heerenveen avg 1.0/game so expected 2.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Groningen avg 1.7/game, Heerenveen avg 1.0/game so expected 2.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 24%
    Fouls: Groningen avg 9.1/game, Heerenveen avg 8.5/game so expected 17.7 match fouls
  • Over 14.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Groningen avg 9.1/game, Heerenveen avg 8.5/game so expected 17.7 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 75%
    Shots: Groningen avg 15.4/game, Heerenveen avg 14.8/game so expected 30.2 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Groningen avg 15.4/game, Heerenveen avg 14.8/game so expected 30.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Groningen or Heerenveen (double chance) 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Heerenveen under 2.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Heerenveen over 1 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Groningen under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Groningen or Draw (double chance) 72% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Under 4 goals 71% market Betano
    1.47 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.