Getafe crestAtletico Madrid crest

Getafe v Atletico Madrid bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

    59% the model

    Record this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks

    Priced from the market's consensus.

    1.71 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals

    74% the model

    Record this market has landed 79% across 465 graded picks

    Priced from the market's consensus.

    1.34 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 44% chance all land
2.30

The model puts this 2-leg build at 44% combined for Getafe v Atletico Madrid. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Satriano Getafe
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Satriano: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Satriano Getafe
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Satriano: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 53%
    Corners: Getafe avg 4.2 for/4.5 against, Atletico Madrid avg 5.0 for/4.2 against so expected 8.9 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Getafe avg 4.2 for/4.5 against, Atletico Madrid avg 5.0 for/4.2 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 59%
    Cards: Getafe avg 3.1/game, Atletico Madrid avg 2.1/game so expected 5.2 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Getafe avg 3.1/game, Atletico Madrid avg 2.1/game so expected 5.2 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 46%
    Fouls: Getafe avg 13.9/game, Atletico Madrid avg 10.3/game so expected 24.2 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Getafe avg 13.9/game, Atletico Madrid avg 10.3/game so expected 24.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots 45%
    Shots: Getafe avg 9.8/game, Atletico Madrid avg 14.2/game so expected 24.0 match shots
  • Over 20.5 Match Shots 76%
    Shots: Getafe avg 9.8/game, Atletico Madrid avg 14.2/game so expected 24.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Getafe under 1.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.18 +
  • Getafe or Atletico Madrid (double chance) 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Atletico Madrid under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Atletico Madrid over 1 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Getafe under 1 goals 72% market Marathon Bet
    1.39 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 70% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.