Frosinone crestParma crest

Frosinone v Parma bet builder

Saturday 28 November 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Frosinone to win

    66% the model

    Record this market has landed 72% across 203 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 66%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)

    1.52 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land
1.74

The model puts this 2-leg build at 58% combined for Frosinone v Parma. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 71% 1.33 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.76 +
  • Frosinone (first half) First Half 51% 1.97 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • F. Ghedjemis Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Ghedjemis: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Calò Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Calò: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Raimondo Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Raimondo: 1.10 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Raimondo Frosinone
    Anytime scorer

    A. Raimondo: 0.80 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 1.55 a game

  • D. Romero Parma
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Romero: 1.11 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Kvernadze Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Kvernadze: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Touré Parma
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Touré: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Ghedjemis Frosinone
    Shots on target 2+

    F. Ghedjemis: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Calò Frosinone
    Anytime scorer

    G. Calò: 0.45 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 1.55 a game

  • G. Bracaglia Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Bracaglia: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Bracaglia Frosinone
    To be carded

    G. Bracaglia (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

  • R. Schmid Frosinone
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Schmid: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games [WC form: 0.44/90 over 3 games (206 min), 33% weight

  • G. Calò Frosinone
    Shots on target 2+

    G. Calò: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Frosinone avg 7.0 for/6.3 against, Parma avg 3.1 for/6.9 against so expected 11.7 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Frosinone avg 7.0 for/6.3 against, Parma avg 3.1 for/6.9 against so expected 11.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 39%
    Cards: Frosinone avg 1.8/game, Parma avg 1.4/game so expected 3.2 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Frosinone avg 1.8/game, Parma avg 1.4/game so expected 3.2 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Frosinone avg 13.9/game, Parma avg 10.1/game so expected 24.0 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 76%
    Fouls: Frosinone avg 13.9/game, Parma avg 10.1/game so expected 24.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Frosinone avg 20.2/game, Parma avg 10.0/game so expected 30.2 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Frosinone avg 20.2/game, Parma avg 10.0/game so expected 30.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Frosinone or Parma (double chance) 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.20 +
  • Frosinone under 3.5 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.21 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Frosinone under 3 goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Marathon Bet
    1.36 +
  • Parma over 0.5 goals 74% market 1xBet
    1.41 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Under 4 goals 71% market 1xBet
    1.46 +
  • Parma under 1.5 goals 71% market Marathon Bet
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.