Flamengo v Gremio bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.32 +
Flamengo to win
76% the modelOur board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 45%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Flamengo v Gremio, 66% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 70% 1.36 +
- Flamengo (first half) First Half 67% 1.50 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.81 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 52% 1.99 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Pedro FlamengoShots on target 1+
Pedro: 1.27 shots on target a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Samuel Lino FlamengoShots on target 1+
Samuel Lino: 0.91 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. de Arrascaeta FlamengoShots on target 1+
G. de Arrascaeta: 0.70 shots on target a game over 23 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Carlos Vinícius GremioShots on target 1+
Carlos Vinícius: 0.84 shots on target a game over 32 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Lucas Paquetá FlamengoShots on target 1+
Lucas Paquetá: 0.75 shots on target a game over 24 games [WC form: 0.47/90 over 3 games (191 min), 31% weight
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Pedro FlamengoAnytime scorer
Pedro: 0.55 goals a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 1.30 a game
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Pedro FlamengoShots on target 2+
Pedro: 1.27 shots on target a game over 33 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Tetê GremioShots on target 1+
Tetê: 0.50 shots on target a game over 26 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 50%Corners: Flamengo avg 5.9 for/3.7 against, Gremio avg 5.2 for/4.6 against so expected 9.7 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 75%Corners: Flamengo avg 5.9 for/3.7 against, Gremio avg 5.2 for/4.6 against so expected 9.7 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 55%Cards: Flamengo avg 1.8/game, Gremio avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 75%Cards: Flamengo avg 1.8/game, Gremio avg 2.1/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 47%Fouls: Flamengo avg 9.0/game, Gremio avg 13.3/game so expected 22.3 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 79%Fouls: Flamengo avg 9.0/game, Gremio avg 13.3/game so expected 22.3 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 74%Shots: Flamengo avg 15.9/game, Gremio avg 14.2/game so expected 30.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Flamengo avg 15.9/game, Gremio avg 14.2/game so expected 30.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Flamengo under 4 goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.19 +
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Under 13.5 corners 85% market 1xBet1.18 +
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Gremio over 1.5 corners 84% market Betano1.21 +
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Under 2.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill1.20 +
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Gremio under 4.5 corners 83% market 1xBet1.20 +
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Under 13 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Gremio under 1 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Flamengo over 5.5 corners 81% market Betano1.23 +
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Flamengo over 2 goals 78% market 1xBet1.35 +
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Flamengo over 6 corners 78% market 1xBet1.29 +
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Under 4.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.36 +
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Under 2 first half goals 76% market BetVictor1.34 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.