Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Flamengo vs Botafogo Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 30 August 2026, 20:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

84.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.18
  • Flamengo or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Flamengo or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.07

    Probability: 93.8% · Fair odds: 1.07

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 3.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 94%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Flamengo vs Botafogo, 84.4% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Pedro Flamengo
    Shots on Target 1+ 72%

    Pedro averages 1.14 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.26, P(1+)=72% P(2+)=36%

  • Arthur Cabral Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 65%

    Arthur Cabral averages 1.17 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.05, P(1+)=65% P(2+)=28%

  • Matheus Martins Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 59%

    Matheus Martins averages 1.00 SoT/match (19 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.90, P(1+)=59% P(2+)=23%

  • Samuel Lino Flamengo
    Shots on Target 1+ 52%

    Samuel Lino averages 0.67 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.73, P(1+)=52% P(2+)=17%

  • A. Barboza Botafogo
    Shots on Target 1+ 41%

    A. Barboza averages 0.58 SoT/match (12 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.53, P(1+)=41% P(2+)=10%

  • E. Pulgar Flamengo
    To Be Carded 39%

    E. Pulgar (Midfielder) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.50, P(carded)=39%

  • Pedro Flamengo
    Anytime Scorer 38%

    Pedro on 0.57 goals/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 1.00 goals/game → lambda 0.47, P(anytime scorer)=38%

  • A. Barboza Botafogo
    To Be Carded 37%

    A. Barboza (Defender) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%

  • Pedro Flamengo
    Shots on Target 2+ 36%

    Pedro averages 1.14 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.26, P(1+)=72% P(2+)=36%

  • M. Ponte Botafogo
    To Be Carded 36%

    M. Ponte (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.44, P(carded)=36%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners, 48% Corners: Flamengo avg 3.8 for/4.4 against, Botafogo avg 3.1 for/5.8 against → expected 8.5 match corners
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards, 85% Cards: Flamengo avg 2.4/game, Botafogo avg 4.9/game → expected 7.3 match cards
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 47% Fouls: Flamengo avg 10.0/game, Botafogo avg 14.3/game → expected 24.3 match fouls
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots, 58% Shots: Flamengo avg 17.5/game, Botafogo avg 10.2/game → expected 27.7 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →