Feyenoord crestExcelsior crest

Feyenoord v Excelsior bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 17:45 · Eredivisie

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Feyenoord crestFeyenoord

    77% the model

    1st vs 15th. Feyenoord won 3 of their last 5 at home. The market prices this at 83%; the model's own number is 77%, from its record in this market

    1.30 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    64% the model

    Avg 4.0 goals/game expected.

    1.56 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 50% chance all land
2.01

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Feyenoord v Excelsior, 50% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Feyenoord (first half) First Half 69% 1.40 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 61% 1.62 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 61% 1.59 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Nacho Ferri Feyenoord
    Shots on target 1+

    Nacho Ferri: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Hadj-Moussa Feyenoord
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Hadj-Moussa: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (78 min), 16% weight

  • G. Zechiël Feyenoord
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Zechiël: 1.09 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Valente Feyenoord
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Valente: 1.00 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Hadj-Moussa Feyenoord
    Anytime scorer

    A. Hadj-Moussa: 0.60 goals a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (78 min), 16% weight

  • Nacho Ferri Feyenoord
    Anytime scorer

    Nacho Ferri: 0.50 goals a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 2.50 a game

  • I. Yegoian Excelsior
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Yegoian: 0.82 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Zechiël Feyenoord
    Anytime scorer

    G. Zechiël: 0.45 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 2.50 a game

  • L. Valente Feyenoord
    Anytime scorer

    L. Valente: 0.45 goals a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 2.50 a game

  • Nacho Ferri Feyenoord
    Shots on target 2+

    Nacho Ferri: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Sliti Excelsior
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Sliti: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Read Feyenoord
    Anytime assist

    G. Read on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 10 key passes), match xG 2.79

  • I. Yegoian Excelsior
    Anytime assist

    I. Yegoian on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 19 key passes), match xG 2.79

  • A. Hadj-Moussa Feyenoord
    Shots on target 2+

    A. Hadj-Moussa: 1.40 shots on target a game over 10 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (78 min), 16% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 5.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Feyenoord under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 3 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Over 3 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.32 +
  • Feyenoord to win the second half 78% market William Hill
    1.35 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 76% market William Hill
    1.36 +
  • Excelsior under 1 goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.34 +
  • Feyenoord leading at half time 72% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Feyenoord under 4 goals 72% market Marathon Bet
    1.39 +
  • Over 1.5 second half goals 71% market William Hill
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.