FC Porto crestPSV Eindhoven crest

FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven bet builder

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00 · Champions League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • PSV Eindhoven or draw

    45% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 45%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    2.23 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    58% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 58%.

    1.73 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 26% chance all land
3.86

The model puts this 2-leg build at 26% combined for FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 74% 1.28 +
  • FC Porto Home Win 57% 1.55 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.68 +
  • FC Porto (first half) First Half 51% 2.05 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • William FC Porto
    Shots on target 1+

    William: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Gabri Veiga FC Porto
    Shots on target 1+

    Gabri Veiga: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Victor Mow Froholdt FC Porto
    Shots on target 1+

    Victor Mow Froholdt: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Mijnans PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Mijnans: 1.00 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • André Silva FC Porto
    Shots on target 1+

    André Silva: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Til PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Til: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (31 min), 7% weight

  • R. Pepi PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Pepi: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (101 min), 19% weight

  • R. van Bommel PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    R. van Bommel: 0.75 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Dest PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Dest: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.59/90 over 2 games (152 min), 27% weight

  • I. Perišić PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Perišić: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games [WC form: 0.50/90 over 2 games (180 min), 30% weight

  • K. Sano PSV Eindhoven
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Sano: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: FC Porto avg 5.6 for/4.3 against, PSV Eindhoven avg 7.3 for/4.1 against so expected 10.6 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: FC Porto avg 5.6 for/4.3 against, PSV Eindhoven avg 7.3 for/4.1 against so expected 10.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 38%
    Cards: FC Porto avg 1.9/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 1.2/game so expected 3.1 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: FC Porto avg 1.9/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 1.2/game so expected 3.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 57%
    Fouls: FC Porto avg 11.6/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 9.9/game so expected 21.5 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: FC Porto avg 11.6/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 9.9/game so expected 21.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: FC Porto avg 14.2/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 18.0/game so expected 32.2 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: FC Porto avg 14.2/game, PSV Eindhoven avg 18.0/game so expected 32.2 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Under 12 corners 84% market 1xBet
    1.19 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 12.5 shots on target 83% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Over 2.5 cards 83% market Betano
    1.21 +
  • Over 22.5 total shots (on + off target) 83% market Betano
    1.21 +
  • PSV Eindhoven under 5.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.26 +
  • Over 7.5 shots on target 82% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Under 6.5 cards 82% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 81% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • FC Porto under 7.5 corners 81% market Betano
    1.26 +
  • PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 corners 81% market Betano
    1.29 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.