FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes bet builder

Sunday 25 October 2026, 01:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

FC Dallas or Draw

78% the model

Win if home team wins or draws. Home team favoured. Home avoid defeat 77% of games.

1.28 +
Under 3.5 Goals

58% the model

Avg 3.3 goals/game expected.

1.71 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 46% chance all land

2.19

Built from the bookmakers' prices for FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes, 46% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
FC Dallas Home Win 53% 1.73 +
Over 2.5 Goals 53% 1.43 +
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw Double Chance 51% 2.07 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

P. Musa FC Dallas

Shots on target 1+

P. Musa: 1.65 shots on target a game over 26 games [WC form: 1.36/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes

Shots on target 1+

P. Judd: 1.39 shots on target a game over 28 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
P. Musa FC Dallas

Anytime scorer

P. Musa: 0.77 goals a game over 26 games [WC form: 1.36/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
P. Musa FC Dallas

Shots on target 2+

P. Musa: 1.65 shots on target a game over 26 games [WC form: 1.36/90 over 1 games (66 min), 14% weight
O. Bouda San Jose Earthquakes

Shots on target 1+

O. Bouda: 0.62 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes

Anytime scorer

P. Judd: 0.57 goals a game over 28 games, away against a side conceding 1.40 a game
P. Judd San Jose Earthquakes

Shots on target 2+

P. Judd: 1.39 shots on target a game over 28 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 47%
Corners: FC Dallas avg 4.3 for/7.6 against, San Jose Earthquakes avg 5.1 for/3.9 against so expected 10.4 match corners
Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
Corners: FC Dallas avg 4.3 for/7.6 against, San Jose Earthquakes avg 5.1 for/3.9 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 47%
Cards: FC Dallas avg 2.0/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 2.5/game so expected 4.5 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: FC Dallas avg 2.0/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 2.5/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 53%
Fouls: FC Dallas avg 12.0/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 13.0/game so expected 25.0 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: FC Dallas avg 12.0/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 13.0/game so expected 25.0 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 49%
Shots: FC Dallas avg 12.3/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 14.3/game so expected 26.5 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 78%
Shots: FC Dallas avg 12.3/game, San Jose Earthquakes avg 14.3/game so expected 26.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

FC Dallas over 3.5 corners 85% market Betano
1.18 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
1.22 +
Over 1 second half goals 84% market Marathon Bet
1.19 +
FC Dallas or Draw (double chance) 83% market William Hill
1.25 +
Under 4.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.28 +
San Jose Earthquakes over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
1.30 +
Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
1.28 +
Over 8.5 corners 78% market Betano
1.29 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 76% market Bet365
1.36 +
San Jose Earthquakes over 3.5 corners 76% market Betano
1.32 +
Under 12.5 corners 75% market Betano
1.34 +
Under 4 goals 74% market Betano
1.42 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.