FC Cincinnati crestColumbus Crew crest

FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew bet builder

Sunday 18 October 2026, 22:00 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Columbus Crew or draw

    57% the model

    Our board prices this at 58%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.74 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 56% chance all land
1.79

Built from the bookmakers' prices for FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew, 56% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • FC Cincinnati or Draw Double Chance 75% 1.34 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 70% 1.37 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.82 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 52% 1.94 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Shots on target 1+

    Evander: 1.40 shots on target a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Denkey FC Cincinnati
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Denkey: 1.12 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Denkey FC Cincinnati
    Anytime scorer

    K. Denkey: 0.62 goals a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 1.60 a game

  • T. Barlow FC Cincinnati
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Barlow: 0.67 shots on target a game over 27 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Rossi Columbus Crew
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Rossi: 0.80 shots on target a game over 15 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Shots on target 2+

    Evander: 1.40 shots on target a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Evander FC Cincinnati
    Anytime scorer

    Evander: 0.48 goals a game over 25 games, home against a side conceding 1.60 a game

  • M. Arfsten Columbus Crew
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Arfsten: 0.59 shots on target a game over 17 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Mboma Dem FC Cincinnati
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Mboma Dem: 0.45 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: FC Cincinnati avg 5.2 for/5.1 against, Columbus Crew avg 5.7 for/2.9 against so expected 9.4 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 72%
    Corners: FC Cincinnati avg 5.2 for/5.1 against, Columbus Crew avg 5.7 for/2.9 against so expected 9.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 46%
    Cards: FC Cincinnati avg 2.7/game, Columbus Crew avg 1.8/game so expected 4.5 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: FC Cincinnati avg 2.7/game, Columbus Crew avg 1.8/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 46%
    Fouls: FC Cincinnati avg 12.1/game, Columbus Crew avg 10.1/game so expected 22.2 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 78%
    Fouls: FC Cincinnati avg 12.1/game, Columbus Crew avg 10.1/game so expected 22.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: FC Cincinnati avg 14.1/game, Columbus Crew avg 18.5/game so expected 32.6 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: FC Cincinnati avg 14.1/game, Columbus Crew avg 18.5/game so expected 32.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.20 +
  • Columbus Crew under 2.5 goals 85% market BetVictor
    1.20 +
  • Columbus Crew over 0.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Columbus Crew over 2.5 corners 84% market Betano
    1.19 +
  • FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew (double chance) 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • FC Cincinnati over 3.5 corners 78% market Betano
    1.29 +
  • FC Cincinnati or Draw (double chance) 77% market William Hill
    1.35 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 77% market Betano
    1.30 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.