Famalicao crestArouca crest

Famalicao v Arouca bet builder

Friday 6 November 2026, 20:45 · Primeira Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Famalicao or draw

    76% the model

    Our board prices this at 76%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 70%.)

    1.31 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 67% chance all land
1.50

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Famalicao v Arouca, 67% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 73% 1.29 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.32 +
  • Arouca or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.76 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Barbero Arouca
    Shots on target 1+

    Barbero: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Koutsias Famalicao
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Koutsias: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Sorriso Famalicao
    Shots on target 1+

    Sorriso: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Djouahra Arouca
    Anytime assist

    N. Djouahra on 0.60 assists/match (10 apps, 12 key passes), match xG 2.50

  • T. Fukui Arouca
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Fukui: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Famalicao avg 4.2 for/4.2 against, Arouca avg 3.7 for/4.6 against so expected 8.4 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Famalicao avg 4.2 for/4.2 against, Arouca avg 3.7 for/4.6 against so expected 8.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 58%
    Cards: Famalicao avg 2.5/game, Arouca avg 2.6/game so expected 5.1 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Famalicao avg 2.5/game, Arouca avg 2.6/game so expected 5.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 55%
    Fouls: Famalicao avg 12.2/game, Arouca avg 11.1/game so expected 23.3 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Famalicao avg 12.2/game, Arouca avg 11.1/game so expected 23.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 20%
    Shots: Famalicao avg 7.7/game, Arouca avg 11.2/game so expected 18.9 match shots

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Famalicao or Draw (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Famalicao or Arouca (double chance) 82% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Famalicao over 3.5 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Famalicao under 7 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Arouca under 5.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 11.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.28 +
  • Arouca over 2.5 corners 80% market Betano
    1.26 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 7.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.30 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.