Falkirk crestST Johnstone crest

Falkirk v ST Johnstone bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 15:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Falkirk or draw

    77% the model

    Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.31 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 58% chance all land
1.72

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Falkirk v ST Johnstone, 58% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.36 +
  • ST Johnstone or Draw Double Chance 58% 1.72 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Owen Eames Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    Owen Eames: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Fowler ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Fowler: 0.67 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Ross Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Ross: 0.50 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Fowler ST Johnstone
    Anytime scorer

    J. Fowler: 0.50 goals a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 1.60 a game

  • T. Steven ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Steven: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • E. Alić ST Johnstone
    Shots on target 1+

    E. Alić: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Krauhaus Falkirk
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Krauhaus: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Falkirk avg 4.3 for/6.2 against, ST Johnstone avg 2.9 for/8.0 against so expected 10.7 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Falkirk avg 4.3 for/6.2 against, ST Johnstone avg 2.9 for/8.0 against so expected 10.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 51%
    Cards: Falkirk avg 2.0/game, ST Johnstone avg 1.7/game so expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Falkirk avg 2.0/game, ST Johnstone avg 1.7/game so expected 3.7 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 55%
    Fouls: Falkirk avg 14.7/game, ST Johnstone avg 10.6/game so expected 25.2 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Falkirk avg 14.7/game, ST Johnstone avg 10.6/game so expected 25.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 36%
    Shots: Falkirk avg 11.1/game, ST Johnstone avg 9.9/game so expected 21.0 match shots
  • Over 16.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Falkirk avg 11.1/game, ST Johnstone avg 9.9/game so expected 21.0 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Falkirk under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Falkirk or ST Johnstone (double chance) 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market William Hill
    1.33 +
  • Falkirk or Draw (double chance) 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • ST Johnstone over 0.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 77% market Marathon Bet
    1.30 +
  • Falkirk over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Betano
    1.40 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
    1.34 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +
  • ST Johnstone under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.