Excelsior v Groningen bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only- 1.43 +
- The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
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Over 2.5 Goals
Alternative picks
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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T. van Bergen GroningenShots on target 1+
T. van Bergen: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. Willumsson GroningenShots on target 1+
B. Willumsson: 1.29 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Yegoian ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
I. Yegoian: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Sliti ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
A. Sliti: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. van der Werff GroningenShots on target 1+
D. van der Werff: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. van Bergen GroningenShots on target 2+
T. van Bergen: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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T. de Jonge GroningenShots on target 1+
T. de Jonge: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Hartjes ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
L. Hartjes: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%Corners: Excelsior avg 3.3 for/5.1 against, Groningen avg 4.8 for/4.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%Corners: Excelsior avg 3.3 for/5.1 against, Groningen avg 4.8 for/4.8 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 58%Cards: Excelsior avg 1.5/game, Groningen avg 1.5/game so expected 3.0 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Excelsior avg 1.5/game, Groningen avg 1.5/game so expected 3.0 match cards; the safer line
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 50%Fouls: Excelsior avg 12.6/game, Groningen avg 8.0/game so expected 20.6 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Excelsior avg 12.6/game, Groningen avg 8.0/game so expected 20.6 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 53%Shots: Excelsior avg 10.9/game, Groningen avg 16.3/game so expected 27.1 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Excelsior avg 10.9/game, Groningen avg 16.3/game so expected 27.1 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Groningen under 2.5 goals 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Under 4.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Excelsior under 2.5 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Excelsior over 1 goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Excelsior or Groningen (double chance) 79% market William Hill1.29 +
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Under 2 first half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.27 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 4 goals 76% market Marathon Bet1.31 +
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Groningen under 2 goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.33 +
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Excelsior or Draw (double chance) 71% market 1xBet1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing
Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.