Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.47 +
Go Ahead Eagles or draw
68% the modelOur board prices this at 68%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Excelsior v Go Ahead Eagles, 64% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Under 4.5 Goals 73% 1.30 +
- Excelsior or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.60 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.70 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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S. Tengstedt Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 1+
S. Tengstedt: 1.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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I. Yegoian ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
I. Yegoian: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Tengstedt Go Ahead EaglesAnytime scorer
S. Tengstedt: 0.80 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 2.30 a game
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V. Edvardsen Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 1+
V. Edvardsen: 1.10 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Sliti ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
A. Sliti: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Sigurðarson Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 1+
S. Sigurðarson: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Tengstedt Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 2+
S. Tengstedt: 1.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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M. Suray Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 1+
M. Suray: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Sigurðarson Go Ahead EaglesAnytime scorer
S. Sigurðarson: 0.40 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 2.30 a game
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M. Meulensteen Go Ahead EaglesShots on target 1+
M. Meulensteen: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Garden ExcelsiorShots on target 1+
D. Garden: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 54%Corners: Excelsior avg 3.1 for/5.3 against, Go Ahead Eagles avg 5.7 for/5.8 against so expected 10.0 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Excelsior avg 3.1 for/5.3 against, Go Ahead Eagles avg 5.7 for/5.8 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 37%Cards: Excelsior avg 1.2/game, Go Ahead Eagles avg 1.0/game so expected 2.2 match cards
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 43%Fouls: Excelsior avg 12.0/game, Go Ahead Eagles avg 7.8/game so expected 19.8 match fouls
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Over 16.5 Match Fouls 77%Fouls: Excelsior avg 12.0/game, Go Ahead Eagles avg 7.8/game so expected 19.8 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 47%Shots: Excelsior avg 10.8/game, Go Ahead Eagles avg 15.5/game so expected 26.3 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 76%Shots: Excelsior avg 10.8/game, Go Ahead Eagles avg 15.5/game so expected 26.3 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 1 second half goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Excelsior under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Go Ahead Eagles over 1 goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Under 4.5 goals 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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Excelsior or Go Ahead Eagles (double chance) 81% market Bet3651.28 +
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Go Ahead Eagles under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
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Under 2 first half goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.28 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 77% market William Hill1.35 +
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Excelsior over 1 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Under 4 goals 75% market Betano1.42 +
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Over 1 first half goals 73% market Betano1.52 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 72% market William Hill1.40 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.