Everton crestNewcastle crest

Everton v Newcastle bet builder

Thursday 29 October 2026, 19:45 · EFL Cup

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Everton or draw

    71% the model

    Our board prices this at 71%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.41 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 66% chance all land
1.51

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Everton v Newcastle, 66% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.30 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 69% 1.29 +
  • Newcastle or Draw Double Chance 62% 1.56 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • T. Barry Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Barry: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Dewsbury-Hall Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Dewsbury-Hall: 1.00 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Barnes Newcastle
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Barnes: 0.83 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Y. Wissa Newcastle
    Shots on target 1+

    Y. Wissa: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Barry Everton
    Shots on target 2+

    T. Barry: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Branthwaite Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Branthwaite: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Hall Newcastle
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Hall: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Willock Newcastle
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Willock: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Everton under 2 goals 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Everton over 0.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Everton or Newcastle (double chance) 77% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Newcastle over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 73% market 1xBet
    1.37 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 72% market 1xBet
    1.38 +
  • Everton or Draw (double chance) 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Newcastle under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 69% market 1xBet
    1.44 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.