Estac Troyes crestLe Mans crest

Estac Troyes v Le Mans bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 19:45 · Ligue 1

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Le Mans or draw

    63% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 63%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.58 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 118 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 48% chance all land
2.08

The model puts this 2-leg build at 48% combined for Estac Troyes v Le Mans. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Estac Troyes or Draw Double Chance 75% 1.39 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.26 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.38 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • L. Mafouta Le Mans
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Mafouta: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Ripart Estac Troyes
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Ripart: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Calodat Le Mans
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Calodat: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Mafouta Le Mans
    Shots on target 2+

    L. Mafouta: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 35%
    Corners: Estac Troyes avg 6.3 for/2.8 against, Le Mans avg 2.0 for/4.2 against so expected 7.6 match corners
  • Over 5.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Estac Troyes avg 6.3 for/2.8 against, Le Mans avg 2.0 for/4.2 against so expected 7.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 57%
    Cards: Estac Troyes avg 2.3/game, Le Mans avg 2.8/game so expected 5.1 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 74%
    Cards: Estac Troyes avg 2.3/game, Le Mans avg 2.8/game so expected 5.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 59%
    Fouls: Estac Troyes avg 11.8/game, Le Mans avg 14.0/game so expected 25.8 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Estac Troyes avg 11.8/game, Le Mans avg 14.0/game so expected 25.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%
    Shots: Estac Troyes avg 15.5/game, Le Mans avg 10.4/game so expected 25.9 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 74%
    Shots: Estac Troyes avg 15.5/game, Le Mans avg 10.4/game so expected 25.9 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Estac Troyes under 7.5 corners 85% market Betano
    1.18 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 11 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.20 +
  • Le Mans under 5 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Estac Troyes over 0.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.27 +
  • Over 7 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Under 5.5 cards 81% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Estac Troyes over 3.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Estac Troyes or Le Mans (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Estac Troyes under 2 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.