Espanyol crestGetafe crest

Espanyol v Getafe bet builder

Monday 30 November 2026, 20:00 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Espanyol or draw

    79% the model

    Record this market has landed 83% across 350 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 79%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.27 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 60% chance all land
1.66

The model puts this 2-leg build at 60% combined for Espanyol v Getafe. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 70% 1.45 +
  • Getafe or Draw Double Chance 60% 1.69 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 51% 1.20 +
  • Draw (first half) First Half 50% 1.97 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Roberto Fernández Espanyol
    Shots on target 1+

    Roberto Fernández: 0.92 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Mojica Getafe
    To be carded

    J. Mojica (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps) [WC form: 0.89/90 over 1 games (101 min), 19% weight

  • Roberto Fernández Espanyol
    Anytime scorer

    Roberto Fernández: 0.50 goals a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 1.50 a game

  • Ramón Terrats Getafe
    Shots on target 1+

    Ramón Terrats: 0.64 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Roger Hinojo Espanyol
    To be carded

    Roger Hinojo (Defender) on 0.50 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

  • M. Satriano Getafe
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Satriano: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Álex Calatrava Espanyol
    Shots on target 1+

    Álex Calatrava: 0.45 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Javier Hernandez Espanyol
    Anytime assist

    Javier Hernandez on 0.50 assists/match (12 apps, 18 key passes), match xG 2.40

  • Ramón Terrats Getafe
    To be carded

    Ramón Terrats (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 41%
    Corners: Espanyol avg 3.3 for/5.9 against, Getafe avg 4.1 for/4.7 against so expected 9.0 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Espanyol avg 3.3 for/5.9 against, Getafe avg 4.1 for/4.7 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 72%
    Cards: Espanyol avg 3.0/game, Getafe avg 3.1/game so expected 6.1 match cards
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Espanyol avg 3.0/game, Getafe avg 3.1/game so expected 6.1 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Espanyol avg 14.6/game, Getafe avg 13.9/game so expected 28.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Espanyol avg 14.6/game, Getafe avg 13.9/game so expected 28.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 29%
    Shots: Espanyol avg 10.3/game, Getafe avg 9.8/game so expected 20.1 match shots
  • Over 16.5 Match Shots 78%
    Shots: Espanyol avg 10.3/game, Getafe avg 9.8/game so expected 20.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Getafe under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 3 goals 80% market 1xBet
    1.29 +
  • Espanyol or Draw (double chance) 79% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Espanyol over 0.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Espanyol or Getafe (double chance) 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 75% market William Hill
    1.35 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 70% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
  • Under 1.5 second half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.50 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.