England v Spain bet builder

Saturday 26 September 2026, 19:45 · UEFA Nations League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Spain or draw

    the model's number, for members
    1.43 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 1.5 Goals

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
Join FBB Pro

Alternative picks

  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.33 +
  • England or Draw Double Chance 1.52 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals 1.89 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • H. Kane England
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Kane: 2.16 shots on target a game over 31 games [WC form: 1.00/90 over 1 games (90 min), 18% weight

  • I. Toney England
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Toney: 1.50 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Mikel Oyarzabal: 1.06 shots on target a game over 34 games [WC form: 2.23/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • O. Watkins England
    Shots on target 1+

    O. Watkins: 1.03 shots on target a game over 37 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Kane England
    Shots on target 2+

    H. Kane: 2.16 shots on target a game over 31 games [WC form: 1.00/90 over 1 games (90 min), 18% weight

  • M. Rogers England
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Rogers: 0.86 shots on target a game over 37 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Víctor Muñoz Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Víctor Muñoz: 0.91 shots on target a game over 34 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • I. Toney England
    Anytime scorer

    I. Toney: 0.97 goals a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 0.30 a game

  • H. Kane England
    Anytime scorer

    H. Kane: 1.16 goals a game over 31 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 1 games (90 min), 18% weight

  • I. Toney England
    Shots on target 2+

    I. Toney: 1.50 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Álex Grimaldo Spain
    Shots on target 1+

    Álex Grimaldo: 0.74 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. O'Reilly England
    Shots on target 1+

    N. O'Reilly: 0.44 shots on target a game over 34 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Mikel Oyarzabal Spain
    Anytime scorer

    Mikel Oyarzabal: 0.44 goals a game over 34 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: England avg 5.7 for/3.2 against, Spain avg 6.9 for/2.4 against so expected 9.1 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: England avg 5.7 for/3.2 against, Spain avg 6.9 for/2.4 against so expected 9.1 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 25%
    Cards: England avg 1.0/game, Spain avg 0.7/game so expected 1.7 match cards
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 56%
    Fouls: England avg 11.0/game, Spain avg 12.4/game so expected 23.4 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 72%
    Fouls: England avg 11.0/game, Spain avg 12.4/game so expected 23.4 match fouls; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Betano
    1.23 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Spain under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • England or Spain (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.35 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 80% market Betano
    1.30 +
  • Spain over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • England over 0.5 goals 78% market Betano
    1.31 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 77% market Betano
    1.37 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 74% market Betano
    1.44 +
  • Spain or Draw (double chance) 74% market Betano
    1.47 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 70% market William Hill
    1.44 +
FBB Pro

The daily sheet: every leg, with its chance of landing

Every leg on the card ranked by how likely it is to land, the accas built from that list, the facts behind each leg, and the calls the desk refused, with the reason. Locked before kick-off, graded in public, wins and losses alike.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, cancel any time
Cancel any time. 18+. This is analysis and opinion, not betting advice.