Dundee crestHeart Of Midlothian crest

Dundee v Heart of Midlothian bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 17:45 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only
  • Dundee or draw

    48% the model

    Our board prices this at 48%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 70%.)

    2.07 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.07 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 45% chance all land
2.21

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Dundee v Heart of Midlothian, 45% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Heart of Midlothian or Draw Double Chance 79% 1.21 +
  • Under 4.5 Goals 75% 1.26 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 56% 1.61 +
  • Heart of Midlothian Away Win 54% 1.69 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • B. Fink Dundee
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Fink: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Westley Dundee
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Westley: 0.88 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. McPake Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    J. McPake: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Cláudio Braga Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    Cláudio Braga: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Bevan Dundee
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Bevan: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Mendy Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    L. Mendy: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Wilson Heart of Midlothian
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Wilson: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 46%
    Corners: Dundee avg 4.8 for/5.7 against, Heart of Midlothian avg 5.9 for/4.4 against so expected 10.4 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Dundee avg 4.8 for/5.7 against, Heart of Midlothian avg 5.9 for/4.4 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 40%
    Cards: Dundee avg 1.3/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 1.9/game so expected 3.2 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Dundee avg 1.3/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 1.9/game so expected 3.2 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 47%
    Fouls: Dundee avg 10.8/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 11.5/game so expected 22.3 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 79%
    Fouls: Dundee avg 10.8/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 11.5/game so expected 22.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 62%
    Shots: Dundee avg 12.5/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game so expected 28.3 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Dundee avg 12.5/game, Heart of Midlothian avg 15.9/game so expected 28.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 2 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Heart of Midlothian or Draw (double chance) 84% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Dundee or Heart of Midlothian (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
    1.22 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Dundee over 0.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Dundee under 1.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Heart of Midlothian under 2.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 68% market Bet365
    1.53 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.