Deportivo La Coruna crestBarcelona crest

Deportivo La Coruna v Barcelona bet builder

Sunday 29 November 2026, 15:15 · La Liga

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Barcelona crestBarcelona

    65% the model

    Record this market has landed 53% across 49 graded picks

    1st visits 9th. Barcelona won 4 of their last 5 away. The market prices this at 69%; the model's own number is 65%, from its record in this market

    1.53 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Avg 3.8 goals/game expected.

    1.28 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 51% chance all land
1.96

The model puts this 2-leg build at 51% combined for Deportivo La Coruna v Barcelona. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 63% 1.54 +
  • Barcelona (first half) First Half 61% 1.67 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 60% 1.74 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    Shots on target 1+

    Lamine Yamal: 1.58 shots on target a game over 12 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • P. Aubameyang Deportivo La Coruna
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Aubameyang: 1.22 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Fermín Barcelona
    Shots on target 1+

    Fermín: 1.18 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • B. Nsongo Deportivo La Coruna
    Shots on target 1+

    B. Nsongo: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Peke Deportivo La Coruna
    Shots on target 1+

    Peke: 0.55 shots on target a game over 11 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    Anytime scorer

    Lamine Yamal: 0.83 goals a game over 12 games [WC form: 0.74/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    Anytime assist

    Lamine Yamal on 0.67 assists/match (12 apps, 42 key passes) [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • Lamine Yamal Barcelona
    Shots on target 2+

    Lamine Yamal: 1.58 shots on target a game over 12 games [WC form: 1.49/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight

  • P. Aubameyang Deportivo La Coruna
    Shots on target 2+

    P. Aubameyang: 1.22 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • L. Amatucci Deportivo La Coruna
    To be carded

    L. Amatucci (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.20

  • Fermín Barcelona
    Anytime assist

    Fermín on 0.45 assists/match (11 apps, 22 key passes), match xG 2.71

  • Fermín Barcelona
    Anytime scorer

    Fermín: 0.64 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 1.08 a game

  • Mario Soriano Deportivo La Coruna
    Shots on target 1+

    Mario Soriano: 0.42 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 10.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: Deportivo La Coruna avg 6.4 for/5.0 against, Barcelona avg 6.0 for/3.4 against so expected 10.4 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 80%+
    Corners: Deportivo La Coruna avg 6.4 for/5.0 against, Barcelona avg 6.0 for/3.4 against so expected 10.4 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 46%
    Cards: Deportivo La Coruna avg 2.0/game, Barcelona avg 1.5/game so expected 3.5 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Deportivo La Coruna avg 2.0/game, Barcelona avg 1.5/game so expected 3.5 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 52%
    Fouls: Deportivo La Coruna avg 10.3/game, Barcelona avg 10.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Deportivo La Coruna avg 10.3/game, Barcelona avg 10.6/game so expected 20.9 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Deportivo La Coruna avg 14.3/game, Barcelona avg 19.0/game so expected 33.3 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Deportivo La Coruna avg 14.3/game, Barcelona avg 19.0/game so expected 33.3 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 5.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Barcelona over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Barcelona under 4 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Over 1 first half goals 81% market Betano
    1.36 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 5 goals 79% market 1xBet
    1.31 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Under 3 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Under 5 goals 79% market Pinnacle
    1.27 +
  • Barcelona to win 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Deportivo La Coruna under 1.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Deportivo La Coruna over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet365
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.