Cruzeiro v Palmeiras bet builder

Wednesday 18 November 2026, 23:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Palmeiras or draw

67% the model

Our board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.49 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 59% chance all land

1.71

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Cruzeiro v Palmeiras, 59% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.25 +
Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.40 +
Cruzeiro or Draw Double Chance 64% 1.53 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Maurício Palmeiras

Shots on target 1+

Maurício: 0.79 shots on target a game over 28 games [WC form: 2.73/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight
Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

Kaio Jorge: 0.92 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

Matheus Pereira: 0.90 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
K. Arroyo Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

K. Arroyo: 0.79 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. López Palmeiras

Shots on target 1+

J. López: 0.80 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
J. Arias Palmeiras

Shots on target 1+

J. Arias: 0.67 shots on target a game over 27 games [WC form: 1.07/90 over 2 games (169 min), 29% weight
Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro

To be carded

Matheus Pereira (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (30 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 49%
Corners: Cruzeiro avg 5.4 for/5.1 against, Palmeiras avg 6.0 for/4.7 against so expected 10.6 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 73%
Corners: Cruzeiro avg 5.4 for/5.1 against, Palmeiras avg 6.0 for/4.7 against so expected 10.6 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 56%
Cards: Cruzeiro avg 2.4/game, Palmeiras avg 2.6/game so expected 5.0 match cards
Over 3.5 Match Cards 74%
Cards: Cruzeiro avg 2.4/game, Palmeiras avg 2.6/game so expected 5.0 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 61%
Fouls: Cruzeiro avg 13.2/game, Palmeiras avg 12.8/game so expected 26.0 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Cruzeiro avg 13.2/game, Palmeiras avg 12.8/game so expected 26.0 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Cruzeiro avg 14.8/game, Palmeiras avg 18.3/game so expected 33.1 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Cruzeiro avg 14.8/game, Palmeiras avg 18.3/game so expected 33.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
1.22 +
Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
1.22 +
Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet365
1.25 +
Palmeiras over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
1.25 +
Cruzeiro under 2 goals 83% market Marathon Bet
1.21 +
Cruzeiro over 0.5 goals 81% market Bet365
1.28 +
Palmeiras under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
1.26 +
Cruzeiro or Palmeiras (double chance) 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 76% market William Hill
1.33 +
Over 2 goals 75% market Betano
1.40 +
Palmeiras or Draw (double chance) 70% market William Hill
1.44 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
1.44 +

More fixtures

All previews ›

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Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Thu 5 Nov, 00:30 Brasileirão Série A

Palmeiras vs Remo Thu 5 Nov, 22:30 Brasileirão Série A

Cruzeiro vs Bahia Fri 6 Nov, 00:30

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.