Cruzeiro v Bahia bet builder

Friday 6 November 2026, 00:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Cruzeiro or draw

79% the model

Our board prices this at 79%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.27 +
Over 2.5 Goals

80%+ the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

1.14 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 69% chance all land

1.45

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Cruzeiro v Bahia, 69% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.25 +
Under 3.5 Goals 58% 1.59 +
Cruzeiro Home Win 55% 1.71 +
Bahia or Draw Double Chance 50% 2.08 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

Kaio Jorge: 0.92 shots on target a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

Matheus Pereira: 0.90 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
K. Arroyo Cruzeiro

Shots on target 1+

K. Arroyo: 0.79 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
C. Olivera Bahia

Shots on target 1+

C. Olivera: 0.76 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Luciano Juba Bahia

Shots on target 1+

Luciano Juba: 0.62 shots on target a game over 29 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Matheus Pereira Cruzeiro

To be carded

Matheus Pereira (Midfielder) on 0.40 yellows/match (30 apps), pos-mult 1.20
Erick Pulga Bahia

Shots on target 1+

Erick Pulga: 0.53 shots on target a game over 32 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro

Anytime scorer

Kaio Jorge: 0.46 goals a game over 26 games, home against a side conceding 1.30 a game
A. Véliz Bahia

Shots on target 1+

A. Véliz: 0.50 shots on target a game over 14 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 48%
Corners: Cruzeiro avg 5.4 for/5.1 against, Bahia avg 4.8 for/5.8 against so expected 10.5 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 72%
Corners: Cruzeiro avg 5.4 for/5.1 against, Bahia avg 4.8 for/5.8 against so expected 10.5 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 47%
Cards: Cruzeiro avg 2.4/game, Bahia avg 2.2/game so expected 4.5 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
Cards: Cruzeiro avg 2.4/game, Bahia avg 2.2/game so expected 4.5 match cards; the safer line
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 52%
Fouls: Cruzeiro avg 13.2/game, Bahia avg 11.7/game so expected 24.9 match fouls
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Cruzeiro avg 13.2/game, Bahia avg 11.7/game so expected 24.9 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 56%
Shots: Cruzeiro avg 14.8/game, Bahia avg 12.6/game so expected 27.4 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
Shots: Cruzeiro avg 14.8/game, Bahia avg 12.6/game so expected 27.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet365
1.22 +
Under 14.5 corners 85% market 1xBet
1.18 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill
1.25 +
Under 14 corners 83% market 1xBet
1.20 +
Under 2 first half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
1.22 +
Over 1 second half goals 82% market Marathon Bet
1.22 +
Cruzeiro over 4.5 corners 82% market Betano
1.22 +
Bahia under 6.5 corners 81% market 1xBet
1.24 +
Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
1.30 +
Under 4 goals 79% market 1xBet
1.31 +
Cruzeiro over 5 corners 79% market 1xBet
1.26 +
Bahia under 6 corners 77% market 1xBet
1.30 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.