Cruz Azul v Leon bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.28 +
Cruz Azul or draw
78% the modelOur board prices this at 78%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Cruz Azul v Leon, 73% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 79% 1.19 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.22 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 62% 1.48 +
- Cruz Azul Home Win 55% 1.72 +
- Leon or Draw Double Chance 50% 2.04 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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N. Ibáñez Cruz AzulShots on target 1+
N. Ibáñez: 1.38 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Cambindo LeonShots on target 1+
D. Cambindo: 1.15 shots on target a game over 13 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Arcila LeonShots on target 1+
D. Arcila: 1.08 shots on target a game over 13 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Palavecino Cruz AzulShots on target 1+
A. Palavecino: 0.85 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Paradela Cruz AzulShots on target 1+
J. Paradela: 0.70 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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N. Ibáñez Cruz AzulShots on target 2+
N. Ibáñez: 1.38 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Márquez Cruz AzulShots on target 1+
J. Márquez: 0.50 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Paradela Cruz AzulAnytime assist
J. Paradela on 0.50 assists/match (10 apps, 23 key passes), match xG 2.62
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C. Rodríguez Cruz AzulShots on target 1+
C. Rodríguez: 0.43 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 44%Corners: Cruz Azul avg 6.1 for/4.5 against, Leon avg 3.8 for/8.0 against so expected 11.1 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Cruz Azul avg 6.1 for/4.5 against, Leon avg 3.8 for/8.0 against so expected 11.1 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 44%Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.6/game, Leon avg 2.8/game so expected 4.4 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Cruz Azul avg 1.6/game, Leon avg 2.8/game so expected 4.4 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 52%Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 10.6/game, Leon avg 14.3/game so expected 24.9 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Cruz Azul avg 10.6/game, Leon avg 14.3/game so expected 24.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Cruz Azul avg 19.8/game, Leon avg 13.8/game so expected 33.6 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Cruz Azul avg 19.8/game, Leon avg 13.8/game so expected 33.6 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
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Cruz Azul or Draw (double chance) 85% market William Hill1.20 +
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Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet1.18 +
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Cruz Azul or Leon (double chance) 84% market William Hill1.25 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Under 4 goals 83% market BetVictor1.34 +
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Over 2 goals 82% market BetVictor1.30 +
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Under 7.5 cards 82% market Betano1.22 +
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Under 12.5 corners 81% market Betano1.32 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market Bet3651.30 +
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Cruz Azul over 4.5 corners 80% market 1xBet1.32 +
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Cruz Azul under 7.5 corners 80% market 1xBet1.25 +
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Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.