Crewe crestNewport County crest

Crewe v Newport County bet builder

Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 · League Two

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Newport County or draw

    57% the model

    Record this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 58%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.74 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 50% chance all land
1.99

The model puts this 2-leg build at 50% combined for Crewe v Newport County. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Crewe or Draw Double Chance 77% 1.29 +
  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.23 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 68% 1.33 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • J. Gibson Crewe
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Gibson: 0.64 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • H. Biggins Newport County
    Shots on target 1+

    H. Biggins: 0.71 shots on target a game over 14 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Hutchinson Crewe
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Hutchinson: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Gwengwe Newport County
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Gwengwe: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. March Crewe
    Shots on target 1+

    J. March: 0.43 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Adu-Poku Newport County
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Adu-Poku: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Dibley-Dias Newport County
    To be carded

    M. Dibley-Dias (Midfielder) on 0.36 yellows/match (11 apps), pos-mult 1.20

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Crewe under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Crewe or Newport County (double chance) 79% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Crewe or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill
    1.30 +
  • Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 3.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Crewe over 1 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.32 +
  • Newport County over 0.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Newport County under 1.5 goals 72% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market William Hill
    1.44 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.