Coritiba v Santos bet builder

Wednesday 18 November 2026, 22:30 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

Santos or draw

69% the model

Our board prices this at 69%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

1.46 +
Over 2.5 Goals

76% the model

Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

1.31 +

Combined fair odds2 legs, 52% chance all land

1.91

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Coritiba v Santos, 52% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.23 +
Under 3.5 Goals 65% 1.44 +
Coritiba or Draw Double Chance 64% 1.53 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

Gabriel Barbosa Santos

Shots on target 1+

Gabriel Barbosa: 1.16 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Pedro Rocha Coritiba

Shots on target 1+

Pedro Rocha: 0.91 shots on target a game over 32 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Gabriel Barbosa Santos

Anytime scorer

Gabriel Barbosa: 0.60 goals a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 1.40 a game
Lucas Ronier Coritiba

Shots on target 1+

Lucas Ronier: 0.50 shots on target a game over 18 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Breno Lopes Coritiba

Shots on target 1+

Breno Lopes: 0.48 shots on target a game over 29 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Á. Barreal Santos

Shots on target 1+

Á. Barreal: 0.52 shots on target a game over 27 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

Over 10.5 Match Corners 54%
Corners: Coritiba avg 4.2 for/6.7 against, Santos avg 6.4 for/4.7 against so expected 11.0 match corners
Over 8.5 Match Corners 77%
Corners: Coritiba avg 4.2 for/6.7 against, Santos avg 6.4 for/4.7 against so expected 11.0 match corners; the safer line
Over 4.5 Match Cards 40%
Cards: Coritiba avg 1.6/game, Santos avg 2.5/game so expected 4.1 match cards
Over 2.5 Match Cards 78%
Cards: Coritiba avg 1.6/game, Santos avg 2.5/game so expected 4.1 match cards; the safer line
Over 22.5 Match Fouls 49%
Fouls: Coritiba avg 11.1/game, Santos avg 11.5/game so expected 22.5 match fouls
Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
Fouls: Coritiba avg 11.1/game, Santos avg 11.5/game so expected 22.5 match fouls; the safer line
Over 26.5 Match Shots 48%
Shots: Coritiba avg 12.9/game, Santos avg 13.6/game so expected 26.5 match shots
Over 22.5 Match Shots 77%
Shots: Coritiba avg 12.9/game, Santos avg 13.6/game so expected 26.5 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill
1.22 +
Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
1.22 +
Coritiba under 2 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
1.19 +
Coritiba over 0.5 goals 80% market Bet365
1.25 +
Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market Bet365
1.33 +
Coritiba or Santos (double chance) 78% market William Hill
1.30 +
Over 2 goals 76% market Betano
1.37 +
Santos under 2 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
1.31 +
Under 2 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet
1.33 +
Santos over 1 goals 74% market Marathon Bet
1.36 +
Santos or Draw (double chance) 72% market Bet365
1.50 +
Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market Bet365
1.50 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.