Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Coritiba vs Mirassol Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 6 September 2026, 15:00 · Brasileirão Série A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

78.8% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.27
  • Coritiba or draw

    ≈1.11

    Probability: 90.0% · Fair odds: 1.11

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Coritiba or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.14

    Probability: 87.5% · Fair odds: 1.14

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Coritiba vs Mirassol, 78.8% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Pedro Rocha Coritiba
    Shots on Target 1+ 56%

    Pedro Rocha averages 0.74 SoT/match (23 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.81, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=20%

  • Breno Lopes Coritiba
    Shots on Target 1+ 49%

    Breno Lopes averages 0.62 SoT/match (21 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.68, P(1+)=49% P(2+)=15%

  • Alesson Mirassol
    Shots on Target 1+ 45%

    Alesson averages 0.67 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.60, P(1+)=45% P(2+)=12%

  • Lucas Ronier Coritiba
    Shots on Target 1+ 42%

    Lucas Ronier averages 0.50 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.55, P(1+)=42% P(2+)=11%

  • José Aldo Mirassol
    To Be Carded 39%

    José Aldo (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match Stats

Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners, 47% Corners: Coritiba avg 3.8 for/5.8 against, Mirassol avg 3.7 for/5.7 against → expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards, 51% Cards: Coritiba avg 1.4/game, Mirassol avg 2.3/game → expected 3.7 match cards
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls, 45% Fouls: Coritiba avg 9.3/game, Mirassol avg 12.8/game → expected 22.1 match fouls
  • Over 24.5 Match Shots, 45% Shots: Coritiba avg 13.7/game, Mirassol avg 10.4/game → expected 24.1 match shots

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →