Corinthians v Botafogo bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.86 +
Botafogo or draw
54% the modelOur board prices this at 54%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Corinthians v Botafogo, 41% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 77% 1.29 +
- Corinthians or Draw Double Chance 76% 1.25 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 70% 1.33 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Yuri Alberto CorinthiansShots on target 1+
Yuri Alberto: 1.00 shots on target a game over 22 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Arthur Cabral BotafogoShots on target 1+
Arthur Cabral: 0.96 shots on target a game over 27 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Matheus Martins BotafogoShots on target 1+
Matheus Martins: 0.92 shots on target a game over 26 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Kaio César CorinthiansShots on target 1+
Kaio César: 0.70 shots on target a game over 20 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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R. Garro CorinthiansShots on target 1+
R. Garro: 0.63 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Danilo Santos BotafogoShots on target 1+
Danilo Santos: 0.72 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Barboza BotafogoShots on target 1+
A. Barboza: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Barboza BotafogoTo be carded
A. Barboza (Defender) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.10
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Gustavo Henrique CorinthiansShots on target 1+
Gustavo Henrique: 0.39 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 9.5 Match Corners 52%Corners: Corinthians avg 4.6 for/4.9 against, Botafogo avg 4.1 for/6.1 against so expected 9.8 match corners
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Over 7.5 Match Corners 76%Corners: Corinthians avg 4.6 for/4.9 against, Botafogo avg 4.1 for/6.1 against so expected 9.8 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 65%Cards: Corinthians avg 2.3/game, Botafogo avg 3.3/game so expected 5.5 match cards
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Corinthians avg 2.3/game, Botafogo avg 3.3/game so expected 5.5 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 58%Fouls: Corinthians avg 11.8/game, Botafogo avg 13.8/game so expected 25.7 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Corinthians avg 11.8/game, Botafogo avg 13.8/game so expected 25.7 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 44%Shots: Corinthians avg 13.3/game, Botafogo avg 12.6/game so expected 26.0 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 75%Shots: Corinthians avg 13.3/game, Botafogo avg 12.6/game so expected 26.0 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Corinthians under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
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Over 0.5 second half goals 82% market William Hill1.25 +
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Corinthians or Draw (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.25 +
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Under 2 second half goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
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Over 1.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.28 +
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Corinthians or Botafogo (double chance) 79% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 3.5 goals 79% market Bet3651.33 +
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Botafogo under 1.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.30 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
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Corinthians over 1 goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.33 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 71% market William Hill1.40 +
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Botafogo over 0.5 goals 71% market Bet3651.44 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.