Como crestCagliari crest

Como v Cagliari bet builder

Saturday 21 November 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Como or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 335 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Como or draw (100%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.00 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 76% chance all land
1.31

The model puts this 2-leg build at 76% combined for Como v Cagliari. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 77% 1.23 +
  • Como Home Win 65% 1.34 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 59% 1.55 +
  • Como (first half) First Half 57% 1.77 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • N. Paz Como
    Shots on target 1+

    N. Paz: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (71 min), 14% weight

  • Assane Diao Como
    Shots on target 1+

    Assane Diao: 0.50 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Romano Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Romano: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • P. Mendy Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Mendy: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Maldini Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    D. Maldini: 0.60 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • D. Maldini Cagliari
    Anytime scorer

    D. Maldini: 0.50 goals a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 1.50 a game

  • M. Adopo Cagliari
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Adopo: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • N. Paz Como
    Shots on target 2+

    N. Paz: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (71 min), 14% weight

  • Jacobo Ramón Naveros Como
    Shots on target 1+

    Jacobo Ramón Naveros: 0.40 shots on target a game over 10 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Deiola Cagliari
    To be carded

    A. Deiola (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 47%
    Corners: Como avg 5.7 for/4.1 against, Cagliari avg 4.0 for/5.1 against so expected 9.5 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 73%
    Corners: Como avg 5.7 for/4.1 against, Cagliari avg 4.0 for/5.1 against so expected 9.5 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 41%
    Cards: Como avg 1.6/game, Cagliari avg 1.7/game so expected 3.3 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Como avg 1.6/game, Cagliari avg 1.7/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 55%
    Fouls: Como avg 9.8/game, Cagliari avg 11.4/game so expected 21.2 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Como avg 9.8/game, Cagliari avg 11.4/game so expected 21.2 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 61%
    Shots: Como avg 17.3/game, Cagliari avg 10.9/game so expected 28.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Como avg 17.3/game, Cagliari avg 10.9/game so expected 28.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 4.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Cagliari under 1.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.18 +
  • Over 2 goals 84% market Pinnacle
    1.25 +
  • Como under 3.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 81% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 80% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 80% market Marathon Bet
    1.25 +
  • Como to win 77% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Como under 3 goals 76% market Marathon Bet
    1.31 +
  • Cagliari under 1 goals 71% market 1xBet
    1.42 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.