Chicago Fire crestOrlando City SC crest

Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC bet builder

Thursday 29 October 2026, 00:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Chicago Fire or draw

    77% the model

    Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.29 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.03 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 75% chance all land
1.33

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Chicago Fire v Orlando City SC, 75% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 64% 1.50 +
  • Chicago Fire Home Win 56% 1.67 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 51% 2.01 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 51% 1.76 +
  • Chicago Fire (first half) First Half 50% 2.07 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Ojeda Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Ojeda: 1.48 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Griezmann Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Griezmann: 1.47 shots on target a game over 15 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Griezmann Orlando City SC
    Anytime scorer

    A. Griezmann: 0.87 goals a game over 15 games, away against a side conceding 2.30 a game

  • P. Zinckernagel Chicago Fire
    Shots on target 1+

    P. Zinckernagel: 1.00 shots on target a game over 30 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Haile-Selassie Chicago Fire
    Shots on target 1+

    M. Haile-Selassie: 0.84 shots on target a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Ojeda Orlando City SC
    Anytime scorer

    M. Ojeda: 0.64 goals a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 2.30 a game

  • J. Bamba Chicago Fire
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Bamba: 0.63 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Haile-Selassie Chicago Fire
    Anytime scorer

    M. Haile-Selassie: 0.35 goals a game over 31 games, home against a side conceding 2.30 a game

  • Justin Ellis Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 1+

    Justin Ellis: 0.59 shots on target a game over 22 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • I. Angulo Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 1+

    I. Angulo: 0.55 shots on target a game over 31 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • M. Ojeda Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 2+

    M. Ojeda: 1.48 shots on target a game over 25 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Griezmann Orlando City SC
    Shots on target 2+

    A. Griezmann: 1.47 shots on target a game over 15 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • R. Lod Chicago Fire
    Shots on target 1+

    R. Lod: 0.42 shots on target a game over 24 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Justin Ellis Orlando City SC
    Anytime assist

    Justin Ellis on 0.41 assists/match (22 apps, 35 key passes), match xG 2.76

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 50%
    Corners: Chicago Fire avg 4.2 for/4.8 against, Orlando City SC avg 3.7 for/6.6 against so expected 9.7 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 75%
    Corners: Chicago Fire avg 4.2 for/4.8 against, Orlando City SC avg 3.7 for/6.6 against so expected 9.7 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 53%
    Cards: Chicago Fire avg 2.3/game, Orlando City SC avg 2.5/game so expected 4.8 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Chicago Fire avg 2.3/game, Orlando City SC avg 2.5/game so expected 4.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 41%
    Fouls: Chicago Fire avg 12.8/game, Orlando City SC avg 10.7/game so expected 23.5 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: Chicago Fire avg 12.8/game, Orlando City SC avg 10.7/game so expected 23.5 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 51%
    Shots: Chicago Fire avg 14.3/game, Orlando City SC avg 12.5/game so expected 26.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Chicago Fire avg 14.3/game, Orlando City SC avg 12.5/game so expected 26.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Chicago Fire under 3.5 goals 85% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Under 5 goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Chicago Fire or Draw (double chance) 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Orlando City SC over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 first half goals 82% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Orlando City SC under 2 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Under 12.5 corners 81% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.30 +
  • Over 1 first half goals 79% market BetVictor
    1.31 +
  • Orlando City SC over 2.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.27 +
  • Chicago Fire under 3 goals 78% market Marathon Bet
    1.28 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 77% market William Hill
    1.36 +

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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.