Chelsea v Leeds bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.26 +
Chelsea or draw
79% the modelRecord this market has landed 82% across 335 graded picks
Our board prices this at 79%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
-
1.31 +
Over 2.5 Goals
76% the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 61% combined for Chelsea v Leeds. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.22 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 65% 1.43 +
- Leeds or Draw Double Chance 51% 2.02 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
-
João Pedro ChelseaShots on target 1+
João Pedro: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
Pedro Neto ChelseaShots on target 1+
Pedro Neto: 1.33 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (135 min), 24% weight
-
C. Palmer ChelseaShots on target 1+
C. Palmer: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
D. Calvert-Lewin LeedsShots on target 1+
D. Calvert-Lewin: 0.89 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
M. Rogers ChelseaShots on target 1+
M. Rogers: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (108 min), 20% weight
-
J. Bogle LeedsShots on target 1+
J. Bogle: 0.67 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
-
João Pedro ChelseaShots on target 2+
João Pedro: 1.33 shots on target a game over 6 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
-
Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market William Hill1.22 +
-
Under 2.5 second half goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
-
Over 1.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.22 +
-
Chelsea or Leeds (double chance) 83% market Bet3651.28 +
-
Chelsea over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet1.24 +
-
Chelsea under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet3651.28 +
-
Over 0.5 first half goals 77% market Bet3651.33 +
-
Over 2 goals 76% market 1xBet1.36 +
-
Leeds under 1.5 goals 75% market Bet3651.36 +
-
Leeds over 0.5 goals 72% market Bet3651.40 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
Leeds vs Tottenham
Sat 7 Nov, 12:30
Premier League
Arsenal vs Hull City
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00
Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Sat 7 Nov, 17:30
Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Premier League
Ipswich vs Bournemouth
Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.