Chapecoense v Fluminense bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.21 +
Fluminense or Draw
80%+ the modelThe outright win sits at only 50%, so we take the safer Double Chance (83%) covering the same side.
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 3.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Chapecoense v Fluminense, 72% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 75% 1.25 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 67% 1.35 +
- Chapecoense or Draw Double Chance 53% 1.97 +
- Fluminense Away Win 52% 1.80 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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J. Savarino FluminenseShots on target 1+
J. Savarino: 0.87 shots on target a game over 23 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Serna FluminenseShots on target 1+
K. Serna: 0.57 shots on target a game over 30 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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A. Canobbio FluminenseShots on target 1+
A. Canobbio: 0.70 shots on target a game over 23 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (139 min), 25% weight
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Marcinho ChapecoenseShots on target 1+
Marcinho: 0.39 shots on target a game over 28 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 second half goals 84% market William Hill1.22 +
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Under 12.5 corners 84% market 1xBet1.19 +
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Chapecoense or Fluminense (double chance) 83% market William Hill1.30 +
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Over 7.5 corners 83% market Betano1.24 +
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Chapecoense under 6.5 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
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Over 1.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
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Fluminense under 2.5 goals 80% market Bet3651.28 +
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Fluminense over 1 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Chapecoense under 6 corners 79% market 1xBet1.26 +
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Fluminense over 3.5 corners 79% market Betano1.29 +
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Under 2 second half goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.29 +
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Fluminense under 6.5 corners 78% market 1xBet1.29 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.