Celtic crestKilmarnock crest

Celtic v Kilmarnock bet builder

Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:00 · Scottish Premiership

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

No record in this league yet, the market's prices only

  • Celtic to win

    72% the model

    Our board prices this at 72%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 50%.)

    1.39 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 63% chance all land
1.59

Built from the bookmakers' prices for Celtic v Kilmarnock, 63% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 68% 1.40 +
  • Celtic (first half) First Half 65% 1.50 +
  • Over 3.5 Goals 53% 1.89 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 53% 1.89 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Yang Hyun-Jun Celtic
    Shots on target 1+

    Yang Hyun-Jun: 1.00 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Hugill Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Hugill: 1.00 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • G. Kiltie Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    G. Kiltie: 0.80 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Tshibola Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Tshibola: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. John-Jules Kilmarnock
    Shots on target 1+

    T. John-Jules: 0.50 shots on target a game over 10 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 52%
    Corners: Celtic avg 7.6 for/4.3 against, Kilmarnock avg 4.9 for/6.8 against so expected 11.8 match corners
  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Celtic avg 7.6 for/4.3 against, Kilmarnock avg 4.9 for/6.8 against so expected 11.8 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%
    Cards: Celtic avg 1.5/game, Kilmarnock avg 1.9/game so expected 3.4 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Celtic avg 1.5/game, Kilmarnock avg 1.9/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 41%
    Fouls: Celtic avg 11.8/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.8/game so expected 23.6 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 73%
    Fouls: Celtic avg 11.8/game, Kilmarnock avg 11.8/game so expected 23.6 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 56%
    Shots: Celtic avg 17.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 10.3/game so expected 27.4 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Celtic avg 17.1/game, Kilmarnock avg 10.3/game so expected 27.4 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Celtic under 4 goals 84% market Marathon Bet
    1.19 +
  • Kilmarnock under 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.23 +
  • Celtic over 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.26 +
  • Over 2.5 goals 77% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 76% market Betano
    1.35 +
  • Celtic to win the second half 75% market William Hill
    1.40 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
  • Over 3 goals 68% market Betano
    1.55 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
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Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.