Brondby v Aarhus bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only-
1.78 +
Aarhus or draw
56% the modelOur board prices this at 56%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.07 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelGoals: the sides' goal rates read 3.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
Built from the bookmakers' prices for Brondby v Aarhus, 53% combined. Legs from one game move together, so read it as a guide.
Alternative picks
- Brondby or Draw Double Chance 77% 1.29 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 75% 1.26 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 57% 1.61 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedMatch stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 10.5 Match Corners 48%Corners: Brondby avg 5.2 for/4.4 against, Aarhus avg 4.2 for/7.2 against so expected 10.5 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 72%Corners: Brondby avg 5.2 for/4.4 against, Aarhus avg 4.2 for/7.2 against so expected 10.5 match corners; the safer line
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Over 3.5 Match Cards 44%Cards: Brondby avg 1.6/game, Aarhus avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Brondby avg 1.6/game, Aarhus avg 1.8/game so expected 3.4 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 51%Fouls: Brondby avg 11.8/game, Aarhus avg 11.0/game so expected 22.8 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Brondby avg 11.8/game, Aarhus avg 11.0/game so expected 22.8 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 51%Shots: Brondby avg 13.0/game, Aarhus avg 9.8/game so expected 22.8 match shots
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Over 18.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Brondby avg 13.0/game, Aarhus avg 9.8/game so expected 22.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Over 0.5 first half goals 84% market William Hill1.22 +
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Under 4.5 goals 83% market BetVictor1.22 +
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Over 1 second half goals 83% market Marathon Bet1.21 +
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Brondby or Aarhus (double chance) 82% market William Hill1.25 +
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Aarhus under 2 goals 82% market Marathon Bet1.22 +
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Aarhus over 0.5 goals 81% market BetVictor1.25 +
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Under 2 first half goals 80% market Marathon Bet1.25 +
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Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill1.30 +
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Brondby or Draw (double chance) 78% market William Hill1.30 +
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Under 4 goals 78% market Marathon Bet1.29 +
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Brondby under 2.5 goals 77% market BetVictor1.30 +
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Both teams to score: Yes 69% market William Hill1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.