Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.50 +
Chesterfield or draw
67% the modelRecord this market has landed 92% across 13 graded picks
Our board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)
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1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 119 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 58% combined for Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.21 +
- Bristol Rovers or Draw Double Chance 67% 1.47 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 65% 1.41 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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L. Marsh ChesterfieldShots on target 1+
L. Marsh: 1.27 shots on target a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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F. Cavegn Bristol RoversShots on target 1+
F. Cavegn: 0.85 shots on target a game over 13 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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D. Markanday ChesterfieldShots on target 1+
D. Markanday: 1.00 shots on target a game over 14 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Koroma ChesterfieldShots on target 1+
J. Koroma: 1.00 shots on target a game over 13 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Bonis ChesterfieldShots on target 1+
L. Bonis: 0.79 shots on target a game over 14 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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B. Kamwa Bristol RoversShots on target 1+
B. Kamwa: 0.58 shots on target a game over 12 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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S. Forde Bristol RoversShots on target 1+
S. Forde: 0.50 shots on target a game over 14 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. McFadzean ChesterfieldTo be carded
K. McFadzean (Defender) on 0.40 yellows/match (10 apps), pos-mult 1.10
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L. Marsh ChesterfieldAnytime scorer
L. Marsh: 0.45 goals a game over 11 games, away against a side conceding 1.50 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 54%Corners: Bristol Rovers avg 3.8 for/3.8 against, Chesterfield avg 7.4 for/3.1 against so expected 9.0 match corners
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Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%Corners: Bristol Rovers avg 3.8 for/3.8 against, Chesterfield avg 7.4 for/3.1 against so expected 9.0 match corners; the safer line
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Over 4.5 Match Cards 53%Cards: Bristol Rovers avg 2.6/game, Chesterfield avg 2.2/game so expected 4.8 match cards
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+Cards: Bristol Rovers avg 2.6/game, Chesterfield avg 2.2/game so expected 4.8 match cards; the safer line
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Over 24.5 Match Fouls 44%Fouls: Bristol Rovers avg 14.5/game, Chesterfield avg 9.5/game so expected 24.0 match fouls
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Over 20.5 Match Fouls 75%Fouls: Bristol Rovers avg 14.5/game, Chesterfield avg 9.5/game so expected 24.0 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 79%Shots: Bristol Rovers avg 14.0/game, Chesterfield avg 17.0/game so expected 31.0 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Bristol Rovers avg 14.0/game, Chesterfield avg 17.0/game so expected 31.0 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Under 2.5 second half goals 84% market Bet3651.25 +
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Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet3651.22 +
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Bristol Rovers over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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Chesterfield over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet3651.25 +
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Bristol Rovers under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Chesterfield under 2 goals 79% market Marathon Bet1.26 +
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Bristol Rovers or Chesterfield (double chance) 79% market William Hill1.30 +
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Over 0.5 first half goals 78% market Bet3651.33 +
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Over 2 goals 77% market Marathon Bet1.30 +
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Under 2 second half goals 75% market Marathon Bet1.33 +
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Under 1.5 first half goals 69% market Bet3651.50 +
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Bristol Rovers or Draw (double chance) 69% market Bet3651.50 +
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The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.