Brentford v Liverpool bet builder

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Brentford or draw

    the model's number, for members

    Record this market has landed 82% across 228 graded picks

    1.58 +
  • The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    Record this market has landed 64% across 116 graded picks

Combined fair oddsThe model's combined price on this build, and the chance every leg lands. Seven days for £1.
Join FBB Pro

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 1.22 +
  • Liverpool or Draw Double Chance 1.49 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 1.56 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • K. Schade Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Schade: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Thiago Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    Thiago: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Schade Brentford
    Shots on target 2+

    K. Schade: 1.20 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • V. Janelt Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    V. Janelt: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Lewis-Potter Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Lewis-Potter: 0.40 shots on target a game over 5 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 11.5 Match Corners 42%
    Corners: Brentford avg 5.3 for/6.3 against, Liverpool avg 5.4 for/5.0 against so expected 11.0 match corners
  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 77%
    Corners: Brentford avg 5.3 for/6.3 against, Liverpool avg 5.4 for/5.0 against so expected 11.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 42%
    Cards: Brentford avg 1.3/game, Liverpool avg 2.0/game so expected 3.3 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Brentford avg 1.3/game, Liverpool avg 2.0/game so expected 3.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 44%
    Fouls: Brentford avg 10.0/game, Liverpool avg 12.0/game so expected 22.0 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Brentford avg 10.0/game, Liverpool avg 12.0/game so expected 22.0 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 54%
    Shots: Brentford avg 15.8/game, Liverpool avg 11.3/game so expected 27.1 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Brentford avg 15.8/game, Liverpool avg 11.3/game so expected 27.1 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Brentford under 2.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Liverpool over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 4.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Brentford over 0.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Liverpool under 2.5 goals 83% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Brentford or Liverpool (double chance) 80% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 78% market William Hill
    1.29 +
  • Both teams to score: Yes 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
  • Liverpool or Draw (double chance) 69% market Bet365
    1.50 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.