Brentford crestEverton crest

Brentford v Everton bet builder

Monday 23 November 2026, 20:00 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Brentford or draw

    77% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 340 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.30 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    76% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 76%.

    1.31 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 59% chance all land
1.70

The model puts this 2-leg build at 59% combined for Brentford v Everton. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 76% 1.22 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 64% 1.44 +
  • Brentford Home Win 54% 1.87 +
  • Everton or Draw Double Chance 52% 1.95 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • T. Barry Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    T. Barry: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • K. Schade Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Schade: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Thiago Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    Thiago: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games [WC form: 1.45/90 over 1 games (62 min), 13% weight

  • K. Dewsbury-Hall Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    K. Dewsbury-Hall: 0.78 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Anthony Brentford
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Anthony: 0.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • T. Barry Everton
    Shots on target 2+

    T. Barry: 1.44 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Branthwaite Everton
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Branthwaite: 0.50 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 49%
    Corners: Brentford avg 4.7 for/5.3 against, Everton avg 3.9 for/5.3 against so expected 9.6 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 74%
    Corners: Brentford avg 4.7 for/5.3 against, Everton avg 3.9 for/5.3 against so expected 9.6 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 4.5 Match Cards 43%
    Cards: Brentford avg 1.9/game, Everton avg 2.4/game so expected 4.3 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 80%+
    Cards: Brentford avg 1.9/game, Everton avg 2.4/game so expected 4.3 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 51%
    Fouls: Brentford avg 11.2/game, Everton avg 9.6/game so expected 20.8 match fouls
  • Over 16.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Brentford avg 11.2/game, Everton avg 9.6/game so expected 20.8 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 58%
    Shots: Brentford avg 14.0/game, Everton avg 13.8/game so expected 27.8 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Brentford avg 14.0/game, Everton avg 13.8/game so expected 27.8 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Over 0.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 85% market Marathon Bet
    1.18 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 84% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Brentford or Draw (double chance) 83% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 82% market Bet365
    1.22 +
  • Brentford or Everton (double chance) 82% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Brentford over 1 goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Brentford under 2.5 goals 78% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Over 2 goals 76% market Betano
    1.36 +
  • Everton under 1.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Everton over 0.5 goals 74% market Bet365
    1.40 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.