Botafogo vs Palmeiras Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
39.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail
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Palmeiras to win
≈2.22API-Football model rates this 45% (advice: Winner : Palmeiras).
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Over 2.5 Goals
≈1.14API-Football goals model: expected goals 1.50 + 3.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.
Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Botafogo vs Palmeiras, 39.4% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.
More to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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Arthur Cabral BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 72%
Arthur Cabral averages 1.16 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.27, P(1+)=72% P(2+)=36%
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Matheus Martins BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 65%
Matheus Martins averages 0.95 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.05, P(1+)=65% P(2+)=28%
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Maurício PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 64%
Maurício averages 0.75 SoT/match (20 apps) [WC form: 2.73/90 over 2 games (99 min), 19% weight → 1.13], away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.01, P(1+)=64% P(2+)=27%
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Danilo Santos BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 56%
Danilo Santos averages 0.75 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.83, P(1+)=56% P(2+)=20%
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J. López PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 49%
J. López averages 0.75 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.68, P(1+)=49% P(2+)=15%
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Allan PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 49%
Allan averages 0.75 SoT/match (20 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.68, P(1+)=49% P(2+)=15%
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A. Barboza BotafogoShots on Target 1+ 47%
A. Barboza averages 0.58 SoT/match (12 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.64, P(1+)=47% P(2+)=14%
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J. Arias PalmeirasShots on Target 1+ 45%
J. Arias averages 0.67 SoT/match (18 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.60, P(1+)=45% P(2+)=12%
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A. Barboza BotafogoTo Be Carded 37%
A. Barboza (Defender) on 0.42 yellows/match (12 apps), pos-mult 1.10 → lambda 0.46, P(carded)=37%
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Arthur Cabral BotafogoShots on Target 2+ 36%
Arthur Cabral averages 1.16 SoT/match (19 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.27, P(1+)=72% P(2+)=36%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats
Informational only, not part of our tracked record. These corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
- Over 8.5 Match Corners, 53% Corners: Botafogo avg 3.2 for/6.0 against, Palmeiras avg 4.8 for/3.8 against → expected 8.9 match corners
- Over 4.5 Match Cards, 79% Cards: Botafogo avg 4.6/game, Palmeiras avg 2.0/game → expected 6.6 match cards
- Over 24.5 Match Fouls, 77% Fouls: Botafogo avg 14.7/game, Palmeiras avg 13.8/game → expected 28.5 match fouls
- Over 26.5 Match Shots, 67% Shots: Botafogo avg 11.3/game, Palmeiras avg 17.7/game → expected 29.0 match shots
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →