Bologna crestMonza crest

Bologna v Monza bet builder

Saturday 31 October 2026, 14:00 · Serie A

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record
  • Bologna or draw

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 305 graded picks

    The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Bologna or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

    1.11 +
  • Over 2.5 Goals

    80%+ the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 118 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.

    1.14 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 79% chance all land
1.27

The model puts this 2-leg build at 79% combined for Bologna v Monza. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Over 1.5 Goals 74% 1.26 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 66% 1.39 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Gustavo Varela Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    Gustavo Varela: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • F. Bernardeschi Bologna
    Shots on target 1+

    F. Bernardeschi: 1.00 shots on target a game over 9 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Jay Robinson Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    Jay Robinson: 0.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • A. Colpani Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    A. Colpani: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • S. Birindelli Monza
    Shots on target 1+

    S. Birindelli: 0.56 shots on target a game over 9 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • J. Odgaard Bologna
    Shots on target 1+

    J. Odgaard: 0.43 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

  • Gustavo Varela Monza
    Shots on target 2+

    Gustavo Varela: 1.38 shots on target a game over 8 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 8.5 Match Corners 53%
    Corners: Bologna avg 4.1 for/5.0 against, Monza avg 4.1 for/4.6 against so expected 8.9 match corners
  • Over 6.5 Match Corners 79%
    Corners: Bologna avg 4.1 for/5.0 against, Monza avg 4.1 for/4.6 against so expected 8.9 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 52%
    Cards: Bologna avg 1.1/game, Monza avg 1.6/game so expected 2.8 match cards
  • Over 1.5 Match Cards 76%
    Cards: Bologna avg 1.1/game, Monza avg 1.6/game so expected 2.8 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 24.5 Match Fouls 47%
    Fouls: Bologna avg 13.1/game, Monza avg 11.1/game so expected 24.3 match fouls
  • Over 20.5 Match Fouls 77%
    Fouls: Bologna avg 13.1/game, Monza avg 11.1/game so expected 24.3 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 43%
    Shots: Bologna avg 11.9/game, Monza avg 13.9/game so expected 25.7 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 73%
    Shots: Bologna avg 11.9/game, Monza avg 13.9/game so expected 25.7 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game build one leg a market, live prices

3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.

Market singles

  • Under 2.5 second half goals 85% market Bet365
    1.20 +
  • Monza under 5.5 corners 84% market Betano
    1.22 +
  • Over 0.5 second half goals 83% market William Hill
    1.22 +
  • Bologna or Monza (double chance) 83% market William Hill
    1.25 +
  • Over 7 corners 83% market 1xBet
    1.21 +
  • Under 11 corners 82% market 1xBet
    1.22 +
  • Over 1.5 goals 81% market BetVictor
    1.26 +
  • Bologna over 1 goals 81% market 1xBet
    1.24 +
  • Monza under 5 corners 81% market 1xBet
    1.23 +
  • Under 5.5 cards 81% market Betano
    1.24 +
  • Monza under 1.5 goals 80% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Bologna over 3.5 corners 79% market Betano
    1.28 +
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.