Benfica v Celtic bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
No record in this league yet, the market's prices only- 1.48 +
- The call and the price are free on every leg. The model's number and the desk's reason on each are in FBB Pro, seven days for £1, with the combined price and the chance the whole build lands.
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Over 2.5 Goals
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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V. Pavlidis BenficaShots on target 1+
V. Pavlidis: 1.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Prestianni BenficaShots on target 1+
G. Prestianni: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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V. Pavlidis BenficaShots on target 2+
V. Pavlidis: 1.86 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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L. Barreiro BenficaShots on target 1+
L. Barreiro: 0.71 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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G. Prestianni BenficaShots on target 2+
G. Prestianni: 1.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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K. Tierney CelticShots on target 1+
K. Tierney: 0.80 shots on target a game over 5 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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Rafa BenficaShots on target 1+
Rafa: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game
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J. Forrest CelticShots on target 1+
J. Forrest: 0.57 shots on target a game over 7 games, away against a side conceding 4.5 a game
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
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Over 11.5 Match Corners 43%Corners: Benfica avg 7.2 for/2.3 against, Celtic avg 8.5 for/4.3 against so expected 11.1 match corners
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Over 8.5 Match Corners 77%Corners: Benfica avg 7.2 for/2.3 against, Celtic avg 8.5 for/4.3 against so expected 11.1 match corners; the safer line
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Over 2.5 Match Cards 49%Cards: Benfica avg 1.6/game, Celtic avg 1.1/game so expected 2.6 match cards
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Over 1.5 Match Cards 74%Cards: Benfica avg 1.6/game, Celtic avg 1.1/game so expected 2.6 match cards; the safer line
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Over 22.5 Match Fouls 52%Fouls: Benfica avg 10.6/game, Celtic avg 12.3/game so expected 22.9 match fouls
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Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+Fouls: Benfica avg 10.6/game, Celtic avg 12.3/game so expected 22.9 match fouls; the safer line
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Over 26.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Benfica avg 17.1/game, Celtic avg 17.6/game so expected 34.7 match shots
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Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Benfica avg 17.1/game, Celtic avg 17.6/game so expected 34.7 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is not on the record yet, so these legs are the model's read of the market, not a graded call.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles
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Benfica to win 83% market BoyleSports1.25 +
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Over 2.5 goals 69% market William Hill1.44 +
More fixtures
All previews ›The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.